Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Khalij Fars Mahshahr		Esteghlal Khuzestan

	1	X	2
	8.75	3.9	1.35
	9	3.8	1.32
	9.85	3.79	1.33
	9.1	4.1	1.34
	9.6	4	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.26 ↑ (4.98)	3.92 ↑ (2.88)	1.34 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khalij Fars Mahshahr
9.7%

Draw
23%

Esteghlal Khuzestan
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

31.1%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

31.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khalij Fars Mahshahr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Khalij Fars Mahshahr's form might have worsened.

Esteghlal Khuzestan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Esteghlal Khuzestan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khalij Fars Mahshahr than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Khalij Fars Mahshahr, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Esteghlal Khuzestan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Esteghlal Khuzestan Predictions

Users Predictions: Esteghlal Khuzestan will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Khalij Fars Mahshahr has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Esteghlal Khuzestan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Esteghlal Khuzestan is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Esteghlal Khuzestan to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khalij Fars Mahshahr
Iran Division 1
06.11.22	SaiPa - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	3:1 ✺
31.10.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	0:1 ✺
25.10.22	Fajr Sepasi - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	3:0 ✺
11.10.22	Darya Babol - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	1:0 ✺
06.10.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Pars Jonoubi Jam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Division 1
06.11.22	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Chooka Talesh	6:0 ✺
31.10.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:1 ✺
25.10.22	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:3 ✺
19.10.22	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Pars Jonoubi Jam	3:1 ✺
12.10.22	Shahrdari Astara - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTWT

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