Match Info

First League - Round 7

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Khan Tengri		Tobol 2

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.65	5.9
	1.35	4.45	5.3
	1.38	4.93	6.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.38)	4.68 ↓ (4.93)	5.78 ↓ (6.13)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khan Tengri
65.4%

Draw
19.1%

Tobol 2
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

18.6%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

17.9%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khan Tengri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Tobol 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khan Tengri than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol 2 than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Emirov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Valiev A. ⚽,
65', Aydarbekuly A. 🟥,
89', 2 - 1, Musaev E. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 12).

Khan Tengri is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tobol 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Khan Tengri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Khan Tengri is the clear favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Khan Tengri	23	7	4	12	29:44	-15	25
13	Tobol 2	23	4	4	15	40:57	-17	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khan Tengri FC
Kazakh First League
15.05.26	Arys - Khan Tengri	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Khan Tengri - Akademiya Ontustik	3:0 ✺
01.05.26	Turan Turkistan - Khan Tengri	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Khan Tengri - Jaiyq	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Yelimay 2 - Khan Tengri	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLWT
- Tobol Kostanay 2
Kazakh First League
14.05.26	Tobol 2 - Astana 2	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Tobol 2 - Arys	4:3 ✺
01.05.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Tobol 2	3:0 ✺
24.04.26	Tobol 2 - Turan Turkistan	2:3 ✺
17.04.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Tobol 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

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