Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Kharkiv		Feniks-Mariupol

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.25	10.5
	1.27	4.7	9.6
	1.28	4.92	8.23
	1.25	5.47	9.53	Watch
	1.29	4.5	9
	1.29	4.8	8.45
	1.21	5	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)	4.95 ↑ (4.46)	9.76 ↑ (7.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
72.3%

Draw
18.4%

Feniks-Mariupol
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

20.6%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

19.4%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kharkiv's performance.

Feniks-Mariupol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Kharkiv - Feniks Mariupol Predictions

Users Predictions: Kharkiv will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Varakuta D. (G) 7. Ari Moura 9. Boryachuk A. 11. Churko V. 32. Imerekov M. (C) 2. Kapinus D. 3. Kravets V. 14. Lytvynenko I. 6. Mafwenta G. 13. Salyuk V. 97. Sydorov O.	23. Karavashchenko l. (G) 6. Baydal A. 90. Bogdanov A. 29. Fateev D. 20. Kharzhevskyi P. 77. Penteleychuk D. 88. Savin A. 4. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 3. Terekhov A. (C) 99. Zadoya E. 98. Zubkov I.
Substitutes
20. Chervak V. 71. Humeniuk V. (G) 45. Kalitvintsev V. 1. Mozil O. (G) 8. Obinaiah S. 91. Panchenko M. 18. Pasich Y. 12. Potimkov I. (G) 74. Snurnitsyn I. 31. Sten S. 33. Tkachenko R. 10. Yurchenko V.	34. Bulgakov Y. 7. Bykovskyi I. 97. Demchenko Y. 9. Goshkoderya V. 33. Malaki O. 8. Melnychenko I. 21. Mnyshenko Y. 17. Petrenko I. 11. Pudy D. 38. Shushko P. 12. Yakubenko M. (G) 5. Zubkov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Kapinus D. 🟨,
37', Zadoya E. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Ari Moura ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Boryachuk A. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Penteleychuk D. ⚽,
69', Churko V. 🟨,
79', Salyuk V. 🟨,
81', Demchenko Y. 🟨,
85', Bykovskyi I. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently FSC Mariupol have a series of home games.

In this match Metalist 1925 is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Metalist 1925 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.09.24	Kharkiv - Poltava	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Kudrivka - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Kharkiv - Viktoriya Sumy	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Kharkiv - Dinaz Vyshgorod	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWWT
- Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.09.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Kremin Kremenchuk	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Poltava - Feniks-Mariupol	3:0 ✺
16.09.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Kudrivka	0:0 ✺
11.09.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Viktoriya Sumy	0:4 ✺
06.09.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.08.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Kharkiv	1:0

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