The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Poltava 46.4%
Draw 27.8%
Feniks-Mariupol 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
22.9%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.6%
21.2%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Poltava's form might have worsened.
Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Feniks-Mariupol's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+21.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poltava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Feniks-Mariupol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Poltava - Feniks Mariupol Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Voskonyan V. (G) 19. Buzhyn M. 15. Danylenko V. (C) 7. Galenkov D. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 14. Marusych M. 20. Misyura Y. 8. Odaryuk V. 5. Pidlepych V. 44. Plakhtyr D. 9. Shcherbak D.
23. Karavashchenko l. (G) 29. Fateev D. 20. Kharzhevskyi P. 8. Melnychenko I. 77. Penteleychuk D. 17. Petrenko I. 88. Savin A. 4. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 3. Terekhov A. (C) 99. Zadoya E. 98. Zubkov I.
Substitutes
30. Chervinskyi D. 3. Khodulya I. 39. Opanasenko Y. 11. Perebora A. 33. Prokopenko R. 12. Savenkov A. 24. Shapovalov S. 10. Streltsov Y. 27. Tymenko V. 1. Vartsaba I. (G) 31. Vasetskyi B. (G) 88. Vivdych O.
6. Baydal A. 7. Bykovskyi I. 9. Goshkoderya V. 33. Malaki O. 21. Mnyshenko Y. 11. Pudy D. 38. Shushko P. 12. Yakubenko M. (G) 5. Zubkov M.
Coaches
Sysenko V.
Krasnopyorov O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Buzhyn M. 🟨,
28', Fateev D. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Plakhtyr D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Petrenko I. 🟨,
47', Plakhtyr D. 🟨,
50', Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 🟨,
59', Petrenko I. ↓, Baydal A. ↑,
60', Marusych M. 🟨,
64', Penteleychuk D. ↓, Pudy D. ↑,
67', Odaryuk V. ↓, Perebora A. ↑,
67', Marusych M. ↓, Vivdych O. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Shcherbak D. ⚽,
78', Savin A. ↓, Malaki O. ↑,
78', Zadoya E. ↓, Zubkov M. ↑,
78', Zubkov I. ↓, Bykovskyi I. ↑,
83', Kotsyumaka I. ↓, Savenkov A. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Misyura Y. ⚽,
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Poltava won 2.
Poltava is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches FSC Mariupol is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently FSC Mariupol have a series of home games.
In this match Poltava is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Poltava to win the game is with odds 1.65.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Poltava won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Poltava won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.