Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Round 7

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)


	Kharkiv		Viktoriya Sumy

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.79	3.4	4.1
	1.74	3.45	4.13
	2.05	3.21	3.46	Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.6
	1.69	3.42	4.68
	1.79	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.34)	3.37 ↑ (3.15)	4.17 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
51.2%

Draw
27%

Viktoriya Sumy
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.5%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

30.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kharkiv's performance.

Viktoriya Sumy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viktoriya Sumy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kharkiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoriya Sumy than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viktoriya Sumy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kharkiv - Viktoriya Sumy Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kharkiv will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Varakuta D. (G) 9. Boryachuk A. 77. Bugay V. 11. Churko V. 32. Imerekov M. (C) 2. Kapinus D. 6. Mafwenta G. 13. Salyuk V. 74. Snurnitsyn I. 31. Sten S. 10. Yurchenko V.	32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 10. Knysh D. 17. Korokhov E. 11. Lebedenko O. 77. Mashtalir S. 16. Novotryasov A. 96. Nych N. 8. Palamar R. 29. Ryabyi A. 45. Sasovskyi M. 33. Ulyanov D. (C)
Substitutes
20. Chervak V. 71. Humeniuk V. 45. Kalitvintsev V. 26. Kogut I. 3. Kravets V. 8. Obinaiah S. 91. Panchenko M. 18. Pasich Y. 12. Potimkov I. (G) 16. Smitiukh O. 97. Sydorov O.	18. Boyko M. 70. Cheglov M. 19. Danylyuk A. 1. Klimov G. (G) 4. Kurelekh V. 25. Sharay S. 22. Shpyryonok A. 71. Yarosh M. (G) 15. Yevpak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Yurchenko V. ⚽,
43', Salyuk V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mashtalir S. ↓, Danylyuk A. ↑,
66', Lebedenko O. ↓, Sharay S. ↑,
66', Nych N. ↓, Yevpak M. ↑,
66', Yurchenko V. ↓, Obinaiah S. ↑,
66', Boryachuk A. ↓, Kalitvintsev V. ↑,
66', Bugay V. ↓, Sydorov O. ↑,
71', Ryabyi A. 🟨,
74', 🟨,
74', Ryabyi A. ↓, Boyko M. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Churko V. ⚽,
77', Palamar R. 🟨,
77', Knysh D. ↓, Cheglov M. ↑,
78', Sydorov O. 🟨,
81', Sten S. 🟨,
81', Sten S. ↓, Kravets V. ↑,
85', Varakuta D. 🟨,
85', Sasovskyi M. 🟨,
90+1', Churko V. ↓, Panchenko M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches Metalist 1925 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Viktoriya is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Viktoriya have a series of guest games.

Metalist 1925 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.09.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Kharkiv - Dinaz Vyshgorod	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	UCSA - Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.24	Kharkiv - Veres Rivne	0:4 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.08.24	Kremin Kremenchuk - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WTTLT
- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
11.09.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Viktoriya Sumy	0:4 ✺
07.09.24	Poltava - Viktoriya Sumy	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Kudrivka	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.24	Mynai - Viktoriya Sumy	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.08.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Viktoriya Sumy	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWWW

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