Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Zhytomyr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Kharkiv		Poltava

	1	X	2
	1.12	7.5	17.5
	1.12	7.64	19.94
	1.15	6.38	15.79	Watch
	1.14	6.5	23
	1.16	7.55	8.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.21)	7.11 ↑ (6.52)	16.95 ↑ (14.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
81.5%

Draw
13%

Poltava
5.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.8%

14.6%

6.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Kharkiv - Poltava Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kharkiv (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.25 - Kharkiv (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kharkiv will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kharkiv (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Varakuta D. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 37. Dubko V. 24. Martynyuk O. 5. Kaliuzhnyi I. (C) 7. Ari Moura 77. Cauan Baptistella 25. Lytvynenko I. 19. Rashica E. 98. Itodo P.	1. Minchev M. (G) 24. Ukhan I. 5. Pidlepych V. 20. Misyura Y. 12. Savenkov A. 8. Odaryuk V. 21. Doroshenko A. 15. Danylenko V. (C) 2. Kononov M. 38. Sukhoruchko D. 88. Vivdych O.
Substitutes
16. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 8. Castillo S. 95. Goncharov M. (G) 45. Kalitvintsev V. 17. Kogut I. 99. Mba C. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 13. Salyuk V. 74. Snurnitsyn I. 26. Zabergja B.	7. Galenkov D. 93. Kobzar B. 44. Plakhtyr D. 11. Pyatov O. 33. Veremiyenko O. 96. Yermolov D. (G)
Coaches
Bartulovic M.	Matviychenko P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Sukhoruchko D. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Itodo P. ⚽, Ari Moura (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Cauan Baptistella ⚽, Krupskyi I. (A),
62', Rashica E. ↓, Castillo S. ↑,
62', Itodo P. ↓, Mba C. ↑,
65', Odaryuk V. ↓, Galenkov D. ↑,
65', Vivdych O. ↓, Kobzar B. ↑,
72', Ari Moura ↓, Kalitvintsev V. ↑,
72', Cauan Baptistella ↓, Kogut I. ↑,
81', Lytvynenko I. ↓, Zabergja B. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

Metalist 1925 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Poltava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Metalist 1925 is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Metalist 1925 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalist 1925 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	12:4	8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
15.03.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Rukh Lviv - Kharkiv	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
05.03.26	Kharkiv - Lokomotyv Kyiv	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
28.02.26	Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Kharkiv - Kryvbas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWT
- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League
13.03.26	Poltava - Karpaty Lviv	0:4 ✺
08.03.26	Zorya Luhansk - Poltava	4:0 ✺
02.03.26	Poltava - Kudrivka	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Veres Rivne - Poltava	3:2 ✺
14.12.25	Poltava - Rukh Lviv	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
21.09.25	Poltava - Kharkiv	0:2
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.11.24	Poltava - Kharkiv	0:1
27.09.24	Kharkiv - Poltava	0:1
Ukrainian Cup
12.08.24	Kharkiv - Poltava	5:3 ET

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