Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Referee: Kogut O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Oleksandriya		Rukh Lviv

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.78	2.98
	2.88	2.76	2.88
	2.29	3.09	3.36	Watch
	2.75	2.93	2.75	Watch
	2.71	2.62	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.18)	2.84 ↓ (2.99)	2.96 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandriya
35.4%

Draw
33%

Rukh Lviv
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oleksandriya's form might have worsened.

Rukh Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Oleksandriya - Rukh Lviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Oleksandriya will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oleksandriya (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dolgyi V. (G) 22. Skorko D. 86. Bol A. 4. Goulart 2. Ukhan I. 5. Fernando Henrique 19. Jota 8. Buletsa S. 9. Myshnyov D. (C) 27. Cara T. 99. Castillo B.	1. Gereta Y. (G) 92. Slyubyk B. 23. Kopyna Y. 4. Kholod V. 93. Roman V. 5. Edson Fernando 10. Prytula O. (C) 73. Lyakh R. 14. Kvasnytsya I. 99. Faal B. 8. Raileanu V.
Substitutes
49. Amaral M. 50. Behiratche J. 10. Kulakov A. 97. Prokopenko N. 30. Shevchenko M. (G) 71. Shostak D. 11. Shulyanskyi A. 24. Touati H. 20. Vashchenko D.	77. Almazbekov B. 56. Boyko M. 70. Kasarda N. 75. Kitela A. 28. Klymenko Y. (G) 15. Pidgurskyi D. 11. Runich V. 63. Sapuga M. 17. Slyusar D.
Coaches
Nesterenko K.	Fedyk I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Ukhan I. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Roman V. ⚽, Raileanu V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Raileanu V. ↓, Sapuga M. ↑,
59', Goulart ↓, Behiratche J. ↑,
59', Buletsa S. ↓, Touati H. ↑,
68', Kopyna Y. ↓, Pidgurskyi D. ↑,
68', Kvasnytsya I. ↓, Runich V. ↑,
71', Shostak D. 🟨,
72', Skorko D. ↓, Kulakov A. ↑,
72', Fernando Henrique ↓, Shostak D. ↑,
76', Kulakov A. 🟨,
76', Slyubyk B. 🟨,
76', Prytula O. 🟨,
79', Castillo B. 🟨,
79', Behiratche J. 🟨,
85', Myshnyov D. ↓, Vashchenko D. ↑,
88', Faal B. ↓, Slyusar D. ↑,
88', Prytula O. ↓, Kitela A. ↑,
90', Touati H. 🟨,
90+2', Pidgurskyi D. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oleksandriya won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, Rukh has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Oleksandriya won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Oleksandriya won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League
24.11.25	Zorya Luhansk - Oleksandriya	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Oleksandriya - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Oleksandriya - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Veres Rivne - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLTLT
- Rukh Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
23.11.25	Rukh Lviv - Kudrivka	4:2 ✺
08.11.25	Veres Rivne - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Zorya Luhansk - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
29.10.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
25.10.25	Karpaty Lviv - Rukh Lviv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
12.04.25	Rukh Lviv - Oleksandriya	1:1
05.10.24	Oleksandriya - Rukh Lviv	1:1
04.05.24	Oleksandriya - Rukh Lviv	2:2
28.10.23	Rukh Lviv - Oleksandriya	0:0
Ukrainian Cup
26.09.23	Rukh Lviv - Oleksandriya	0:1
Ukrainian Premier League
04.06.23	Rukh Lviv - Oleksandriya	0:0
28.11.22	Oleksandriya - Rukh Lviv	1:1

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