Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Girnyk (Kryvyj Rih)

Referee: Kubryak D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Kryvbas		Oleksandriya

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.2
	2.06	3.34	3.54
	2.08	3.5	3.5
	2.1	3.25	3.25
	2.07	3.47	3.82	Watch
	1.96	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2)	3.36 ↑ (3.19)	3.49 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kryvbas
45.3%

Draw
27.8%

Oleksandriya
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

25.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kryvbas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+3%)

Kryvbas - Oleksandriya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kryvbas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Makhankov V. (G) 2. Jurcec J. 6. Konate B. 4. Vilivald V. 55. Dibango Y. 94. Zaderaka M. (C) 27. Araujo A. 11. Tverdokhlib Y. 18. Lin B. 10. Mykytyshyn A. 9. Paraco C.	72. Makarenko N. (G) 2. Ukhan I. 26. Ferreira M. 86. Bol A. 23. Oharkov M. 20. Vashchenko D. 19. Jota 71. Shostak D. 9. Myshnyov D. (C) 27. Cara T. 99. Castillo B.
Substitutes
5. Bekavac A. 26. Flores J. 21. Kamensky O. 1. Khoma B. (G) 28. Maya J. 7. Mendoza G. 24. Mulyk V. 19. Ndombasi N. 3. Rojas C. 8. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. 59. Sychev D. (G) 16. Thiago Borges	49. Amaral M. 8. Buletsa S. 1. Dolgyi V. (G) 5. Fernando Henrique 4. Goulart 83. Khan D. 77. Kremchanin D. 10. Kulakov A. 97. Prokopenko N. 30. Shevchenko M. (G) 11. Shulyanskyi A. 24. Touati H.
Coaches
van Leeuwen P.	Nesterenko K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Shostak D. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Paraco C. ⚽, Mykytyshyn A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Tverdokhlib Y. ⚽, Jurcec J. (A),
60', Jota ↓, Touati H. ↑,
60', Shostak D. ↓, Buletsa S. ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Mykytyshyn A. ⚽, Araujo A. (A),
69', Mykytyshyn A. ↓, Kamensky O. ↑,
70', Castillo B. ↓, Kulakov A. ↑,
84', Oharkov M. ↓, Prokopenko N. ↑,
84', Myshnyov D. ↓, Fernando Henrique ↑,
85', Paraco C. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
85', Lin B. ↓, Maya J. ↑,
86', Tverdokhlib Y. ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
86', Fernando Henrique 🟨,
90', Zaderaka M. ↓, Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kryvbas won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Kryvbas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kryvbas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kryvbas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Oleksandriya - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 27.26%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Premier League
01.12.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Kryvbas - Veres Rivne	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Karpaty Lviv - Kryvbas	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Kryvbas - Poltava	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Kryvbas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLTL
- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League
30.11.25	Oleksandriya - Rukh Lviv	0:1 ✺
24.11.25	Zorya Luhansk - Oleksandriya	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Oleksandriya - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Oleksandriya - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
06.04.25	Oleksandriya - Kryvbas	1:0
28.09.24	Kryvbas - Oleksandriya	0:1
02.12.23	Kryvbas - Oleksandriya	2:1
30.07.23	Oleksandriya - Kryvbas	1:0
29.04.23	Kryvbas - Oleksandriya	2:1
18.10.22	Oleksandriya - Kryvbas	2:0
Club Friendly
12.07.22	Kryvbas - Oleksandriya	1:1

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