Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 17

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Takhti Stadium (Khorramabad)


	Kheybar Khorramabad		Aluminium Arak

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.4	4.75
	2.18	2.62	3.95
	2.19	2.76	3.99	Watch
	2.2	2.5	3.8
	2.09	2.4	4.9	Watch
	2.2	2.14	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.27)	2.47 ↓ (2.69)	4.45 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kheybar Khorramabad
42.3%

Draw
37.1%

Aluminium Arak
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

33.8%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

32.3%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kheybar Khorramabad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Aluminium Arak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aluminium Arak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kheybar Khorramabad than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kheybar Khorramabad - Aluminium Arak Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kheybar Khorramabad will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kheybar Khorramabad (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dinarvand M. (G) 10. Shojaei A. 6. Masoumi M. E. 3. Hosseini E. 15. Mohebi M. 88. Babaei E. 19. Ghanbari M. 7. Goudarzi M. . Nesaei A. 76. Farsi A. 16. Moradi I.	1. Khalifeh M. (G) 10. Jahan Kohan A. 6. Bagheri M. 4. Houshmand A. 2. Goudarzi B. 77. Vatandoust A. 57. Khodayarifard M. 26. Norouzifard B. 11. Marzban R. 80. Kahrizi A. 78. Jafari R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Farsi A. ⚽, Moradi I. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Jafari R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hosseini E. ↓, Aghajanpour M. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Ghanbari M. ⚽, Shojaei A. (A),
68', Nesaei A. ↓, Sefid M. ↑,
75', Bagheri M. ↓, Ezhdehakosh K. ↑,
75', Khodayarifard M. ↓, Ghanbari A. ↑,
76', Moradi I. 🟨,
80', 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).

In recent matches, Kheybar Khorramabad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aluminium Arak is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Kheybar Khorramabad has had a series of away games.

Kheybar Khorramabad will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kheybar Khorramabad won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kheybar Khorramabad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aluminium Arak	6	3	3	0	8:3	5	12
13	Kheybar Khorramabad	6	1	3	2	8:8	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kheybar Khorramabad
Iran Pro League
17.01.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Paykan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.12.25	Sepahan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:3 ✺
Iran Pro League
15.12.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LTWTW
- Aluminium Arak
Iran Pro League
18.01.26	Aluminium Arak - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Aluminium Arak - Malavan	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Persepolis - Aluminium Arak	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Aluminium Arak - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Aluminium Arak	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
25.08.25	Aluminium Arak - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1
28.02.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Aluminium Arak	1:0
27.09.24	Aluminium Arak - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0
Iran Division 1
31.01.17	Kheybar Khorramabad - Aluminium Arak	1:3
02.09.16	Aluminium Arak - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0

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