Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 18

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	Fajr Sepasi		Kheybar Khorramabad

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.65
	2.42	3	2.88
	2.37	2.96	2.78
	2.58	3.10	2.73	Watch
	2.45	2.93	2.77	Watch
	2.42	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.58)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.76 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
36.8%

Draw
30.3%

Kheybar Khorramabad
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

30.9%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Kheybar Khorramabad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kheybar Khorramabad than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Fajr Sepasi - Kheybar Khorramabad Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Kheybar Khorramabad (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kheybar Khorramabad (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Rezaei A. (G) 11. Moradi M. 15. Mousavi M. 21. Azhir M. 4. Jafarikia S. 66. Motlaghzadeh M. 14. Niknafs Z. 8. Esmaeili F. 17. Shahabi H. 9. Bozorg S. 19. Rostami Y.	12. Dinarvand M. (G) 10. Shojaei A. 6. Masoumi M. E. 3. Hosseini E. 33. Aghajanpour M. 88. Babaei E. 7. Goudarzi M. 5. Nesaei A. 66. Maaali A. 76. Farsi A. 16. Moradi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Niknafs Z. ↓, Rigi M. ↑,
46', Bozorg S. ↓, Babaei P. ↑,
46', Maaali A. ↓, Yousefi F. ↑,
46', Nesaei A. ↓, Khanzadi A. M. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Babaei E. ⚽,
62', Rostami Y. ↓, Ashouri S. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Aghajanpour M. (Own goal),
71', Esmaeili F. ↓, Sharifi M. ↑,
71', Aghajanpour M. ↓, Mohebi M. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Ashouri S. ⚽, Babaei P. (A),
79', Babaei P. 🟨,
80', Moradi M. ↓, Helichi A. ↑,
82', Rezaei A. 🟨,
85', Babaei E. ↓, Ghanbari M. ↑,
85', Khanzadi A. M. ↓, Ghezel A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fajr Sepasi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Fajr Sepasi	6	1	4	1	3:3	0	7
13	Kheybar Khorramabad	6	1	3	2	8:8	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Pro League
23.01.26	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Fajr Sepasi	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Fajr Sepasi - Persepolis	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Fajr Sepasi - Foolad Khuzestan	1:2 ✺
15.12.25	Malavan - Fajr Sepasi	0:4 ✺
10.12.25	Fajr Sepasi - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWLWL
- Kheybar Khorramabad
Iran Pro League
22.01.26	Kheybar Khorramabad - Aluminium Arak	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Paykan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.12.25	Sepahan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:3 ✺
Iran Pro League
15.12.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
12.09.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Fajr Sepasi	1:1
Iran Division 1
02.05.24	Fajr Sepasi - Kheybar Khorramabad	3:0
15.11.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - Fajr Sepasi	2:1
25.01.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - Fajr Sepasi	1:0
08.06.21	Kheybar Khorramabad - Fajr Sepasi	0:0
25.01.21	Fajr Sepasi - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:1
13.03.17	Kheybar Khorramabad - Fajr Sepasi	0:0

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