Match Info

Hazfi Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Sardar Azadegan Stadium (Qazvin)


	Shams Azar Qazvin		Niroye Zamini

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.1	5.3
	1.69	3.20	5.29	Watch
	1.69	3.14	5.26	Watch
	1.7	3.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.96)	3.16 ↑ (2.86)	5.34 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shams Azar Qazvin
54.1%

Draw
28.8%

Niroye Zamini
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

31.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

31.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shams Azar Qazvin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shams Azar Qazvin's performance.

Niroye Zamini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Niroye Zamini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shams Azar Qazvin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niroye Zamini than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Niroye Zamini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shams Azar Qazvin - Niroye Zamini Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Asadi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
69', 1 - 1, Sourgi M. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Mamizadeh M. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Kheradmand M. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, Fazooni R. ⚽,

Preview

Shams Azar Qazvin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Niroye Zamini is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Niroye Zamini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shams Azar Qazvin is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Pro League
06.11.25	Malavan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Fajr Sepasi	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Aluminium Arak - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLWLL
- Niroye Zamini
Iran Division 1
14.11.25	Niroye Zamini - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Ario Eslamshahr - Niroye Zamini	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Niroye Zamini - Mes Sungun	5:0 ✺
19.10.25	Havadar - Niroye Zamini	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Niroye Zamini - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWTW

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