Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 10

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium (Bandar-e Anzali)


	Malavan		Shams Azar Qazvin

	1	X	2
	1.92	2.82	4.55
	1.92	2.91	4.7
	1.81	2.93	5.61	Watch
	1.96	2.71	4.56	Watch
	1.99	2.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.99)	2.84 ↓ (2.85)	4.68 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malavan
48%

Draw
32.4%

Shams Azar Qazvin
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

31.8%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

30.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malavan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Shams Azar Qazvin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malavan than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	30.8%	7.7%

Malavan - Shams Azar Qazvin Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Malavan will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Shams Azar Qazvin will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malavan: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Malavan (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Shams Azar Qazvin (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Malavan (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Malavan (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Shams Azar Qazvin (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Tayebipour F. (G) 27. Salmani J. 24. Eiri D. 16. Akbarpour Y. 5. Karimi S. 88. Jafari F. 21. Habibi A. 20. Papi M. 13. Alinejad M. 90. Sadeghi H. 99. Ramezani A.	1. Jafarpour A. (G) 33. Rabizadeh H. 6. Mohebi S. 3. Mohammadi M. 7. Nesaei A. 11. Shojaeian D. 10. Mohkamkar A. 77. Moamelehgari F. 66. Azadeh M. 27. Fazooni R. 48. Sourgi M.
Substitutes
11. Abdi M. 30. Beheshti M. 6. Khadempour S. 82. Khosravi M. 23. Moghadri M. 29. Savaed A. 12. Sedaghat A. (G) 2. Touranian S. 19. Yahyazadeh S. 26. Zahmatkesh M.	80. Aghamohammadi M. 88. Jelokhani Niaraki A. 12. Khaledabadi M. (G) 17. Mamizadeh M. 16. Mansouri M. 71. Moazemitabar S. 14. Pouresmaeil A. 99. Zand A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Papi M. 🟨,
45+2', Fazooni R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moamelehgari F. ↓, Mamizadeh M. ↑,
46', Fazooni R. ↓, Fadakar S. ↑,
46', Sadeghi H. ↓, Savaed A. ↑,
54', Ramezani A. ↓, Abdi M. ↑,
55', Azadeh M. 🟨,
56', Azadeh M. 🟨,
72', Sabet Imani G. 🟨,
73', Salmani J. ↓, Ashouri S. ↑,
90+2', Fazooni R. ↓, Fadakar S. ↑,
90+10', Abdi M. (Pen),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malavan won 2.

Malavan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shams Azar Qazvin's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Malavan is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Malavan won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Malavan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malavan
Iran Pro League
31.10.25	Zob Ahan - Malavan	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Malavan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Malavan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0 ✺
25.09.25	Persepolis - Malavan	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Malavan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWTL
- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Pro League
31.10.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Fajr Sepasi	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Aluminium Arak - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
21.02.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Malavan	0:1
20.09.24	Malavan - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:0
11.05.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Malavan	1:0
08.12.23	Malavan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:2
Iran Division 1
16.05.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Malavan	0:0
07.01.22	Malavan - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0

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