FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Championship Group - Round 5
Date: 25 September 2026, Friday
Dynamo Barnaul
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1
X
2
2.08
3.58
2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.08 ↓ (2.17)
3.58 ↓ (3.7)
2.87 ↑ (2.79)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dynamo Barnaul 43.4%
Draw 25.2%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 31.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.3%
24.8%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
24.8%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Barnaul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Barnaul than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Kondoyanidi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Mogel K. ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, Chernobay D. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Danube V. ⚽,
90+6', (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Dynamo Barnaul is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Pobeda have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo Barnaul has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dynamo Barnaul against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.
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