Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday


	Khimik Svetlogorsk		Smorgon

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.28	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.5 ↓ (5.95)	4.28 ↓ (4.32)	1.44 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik Svetlogorsk
16.4%

Draw
21.1%

Smorgon
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

20.9%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

12.2%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik Svetlogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimik Svetlogorsk than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Khimik Svetlogorsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-25.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Smorgon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Pershaya Liga (Relegation to Play Offs) and 6).

Khimik Svetlogorsk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Smorgon is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Khimik Svetlogorsk have a series of home games.

In this match Smorgon is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Khimik Svetlogorsk won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Khimik Svetlogorsk won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khimik Svetlogorsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.10.20	Khimik Svetlogorsk - Slonim	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Khimik Svetlogorsk - Lida	0:1 ✺
26.09.20	Khimik Svetlogorsk - Orsha	2:1 ✺
19.09.20	Khimik Svetlogorsk - Volna Pinsk	1:2 ✺
12.09.20	Khimik Svetlogorsk - Sputnik Rechitsa	0:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWLL
- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.10.20	Smorgon - Granit Mikashevichi	5:0 ✺
03.10.20	Oshmyany - Smorgon	0:1 ✺
19.09.20	Smorgon - Slonim	0:2 ✺
13.09.20	Lida - Smorgon	0:0 ✺
06.09.20	Smorgon - Orsha	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
20.06.20	Smorgon - Khimik Svetlogorsk	2:0
25.08.18	Smorgon - Khimik Svetlogorsk	0:2
28.04.18	Khimik Svetlogorsk - Smorgon	1:1
04.11.17	Khimik Svetlogorsk - Smorgon	1:1
15.07.17	Smorgon - Khimik Svetlogorsk	1:3

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