Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 34

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Seldyakov V. (Rus)


	Khimki		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.94	4.15
	1.73	3.94	3.74
	1.71	3.68	4.8	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.53)	3.77 ↑ (3.55)	4.22 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimki
53.4%

Draw
24.6%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

25.9%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.5%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khimki's performance.

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chernomorets Novorossiysk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chernomorets Novorossiysk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Khimki - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Obukhov I. (G) 2. Golubovic P. 11. Koryan A. 52. Netfullin R. 9. Rudenko A. 7. Sadygov I. 5. Stepanov D. 13. Terekhov S. (C) 67. Varatynov S. 23. Volkov Z. 77. Yuzepchuk R.	1. Frolkin D. (G) 7. Antonov A. 44. Chichinadze A. 35. Enin I. 17. Fomin D. (C) 30. Krasilnichenko O. 10. Magomedov Z. 81. Melnikov N. 97. Nikiforov N. 37. Puchkov S. 36. Voropaev A.
Substitutes
10. Abdullahi S. K. 44. Burychenkov Y. (G) 4. Isaenko O. 31. Kasimov T. 32. Kulishev A. 19. Larin A. 97. Magomedov B. 68. Malozemov P. 21. Mokhammad A. 70. Ozdoev R. 8. Panchenko K. 27. Zhuravlev Y.	96. Adaev V. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 62. Budachev I. (G) 8. Esimbekov D. 27. Gurchenko D. 88. Popovich A. 22. Rebrov D. (G) 69. Rodionov I. 71. Yakovlev D. A. 23. Zazvonkin I.
Coaches
Talalaev A.	Garanin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Voropaev A. ⚽,
22', Voropaev A. 🟨,
24', Stepanov D. ↓, Isaenko O. ↑,
25', Koryan A. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
40', Puchkov S. ↓, Gurchenko D. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sadygov I. ↓, Kasimov T. ↑,
46', Yuzepchuk R. ↓, Abdullahi S. K. ↑,
47', Nikiforov N. ↓, Rodionov I. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Rudenko A. (Pen),
63', Golubovic P. 🟨,
71', Krasilnichenko O. ↓, Bezchasnyuk A. ↑,
71', Antonov A. ↓, Adaev V. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Kasimov T. ⚽,
82', Rodionov I. 🟨,
90', Gurchenko D. ↓, Yakovlev D. A. ↑,
90+1', Rudenko A. ↓, Ozdoev R. ↑,
90+4', Ozdoev R. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 15).

Khimki is Qualified for Premier League

Khimki is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chernomorets is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Khimki have a series of guest games.

In this match Khimki is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Khimki to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Khimki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Khimki
Russian FNL
20.05.24	Kuban Krasnodar - Khimki	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Leningradets - Khimki	1:3 ✺
08.05.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Khimki	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Khimki - Sokol Saratov	5:4 ✺
28.04.24	Torpedo Moscow - Khimki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
18.05.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:2 ✺
12.05.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
08.05.24	Sokol Saratov - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Torpedo Moscow	1:2 ✺
29.04.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
05.11.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Khimki	1:3

Khimki - Chernomorets Novorossiysk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide