Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 30

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Eduarda Strelcova (Moscow)

Referee: Egorov E. (Rus)


	Torpedo Moscow		Khimki

	1	X	2
	3.38	3.1	2.27
	3.38	3.03	2.28
	3.29	3.15	2.26	Watch
	3.05	3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)	3.07 ↓ (3.34)	2.27 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
28.5%

Draw
30.4%

Khimki
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28.1%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28.2%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Khimki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Baburin E. (G) 2. Borodin S. 3. Ivankov A. 87. Kostin A. 10. Lebedenko I. (C) 69. Manelov I. 15. Orekhov A. 11. Shamkin D. 99. Shevchenko G. 9. Stefanovich I. 8. Tugarev R.	1. Mitryushkin A. (G) 17. Berkovskiy I. 80. Khosonov K. (C) 11. Koryan A. 52. Netfullin R. 9. Rudenko A. 5. Stepanov D. 13. Terekhov S. 67. Varatynov S. 23. Volkov Z. 77. Yuzepchuk R.
Substitutes
51. Botnar V. (G) 89. Cherviakov R. 97. Curic M. 21. Gongadze G. 88. Guz A. 20. Kovalev K. 25. Kuzmichev I. 77. Masalov A. 19. Melekestsev T. 41. Mikushin V. 7. Poloz D. 74. Volkov M. (G)	10. Abdullahi S. K. 2. Golubovic P. 4. Isaenko O. 31. Kasimov T. 32. Kulishev A. 97. Magomedov B. 6. Melentijevic S. 21. Mokhammad A. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 8. Panchenko K. 7. Sadygov I. 27. Zhuravlev Y.
Coaches
Kononov O.	Talalaev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Berkovskiy I. 🟨,
39', Stepanov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rudenko A. ↓, Kasimov T. ↑,
46', Koryan A. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
48', Khosonov K. 🟨,
51', 0 - 1, Kasimov T. ⚽,
57', Lebedenko I. ↓, Cherviakov R. ↑,
62', Stepanov D. ↓, Mokhammad A. ↑,
62', Berkovskiy I. ↓, Golubovic P. ↑,
69', Orekhov A. ↓, Curic M. ↑,
69', Kostin A. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Ivankov A. ⚽,
74', Mitryushkin A. 🟨,
80', Shamkin D. 🟨,
83', Yuzepchuk R. ↓, Sadygov I. ↑,
90', Tugarev R. ↓, Poloz D. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Netfullin R. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torpedo won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Khimki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Khimki have a series of home games.

Khimki will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Torpedo won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Torpedo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
24.04.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Sokol Saratov - Torpedo Moscow	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Akron Tolyatti - Torpedo Moscow	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Torpedo Moscow - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWLW
- FC Khimki
Russian FNL
24.04.24	Khimki - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
19.04.24	Rodina Moscow - Khimki	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Khimki - Shinnik	0:1 ✺
08.04.24	Khimki - Arsenal Tula	3:2 ✺
Russian Cup
02.04.24	Khimki - Rostov	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
24.07.23	Khimki - Torpedo Moscow	1:2
Russian Premier League
22.04.23	Khimki - Torpedo Moscow	4:2
07.08.22	Torpedo Moscow - Khimki	1:3
Russian Cup
05.03.20	Khimki - Torpedo Moscow	5:1
Russian FNL
08.09.19	Torpedo Moscow - Khimki	1:0
Club Friendly
02.07.19	Torpedo Moscow - Khimki	0:0
05.07.16	Khimki - Torpedo Moscow	2:3

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