Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 32

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Astrakhan)

Referee: Nizovtsev I. (Rus)


	Volgar Astrakhan		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.08	3.21
	2.35	3.18	3.09	Watch
	2.32	3.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.4)	3.1 ↓ (3.18)	3.07 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volgar Astrakhan
39.8%

Draw
29.9%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

30.5%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volgar Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Chernomorets Novorossiysk aligns with the current prediction.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Odoevski D. (G) 5. Atabayev E. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 22. Khomukha I. 57. Krotov V. 17. Lesnikov D. 90. Shakuro P. 20. Smirnov D. 31. Tkachuk D. (C) 23. Ushatov K. 58. Zuev I.	1. Frolkin D. (G) 7. Antonov A. 44. Chichinadze A. 35. Enin I. (C) 17. Fomin D. 30. Krasilnichenko O. 10. Magomedov Z. 81. Melnikov N. 69. Rodionov I. 9. Uridia M. 36. Voropaev A.
Substitutes
15. Folmer K. 8. Klenkin D. 19. Kosarev K. 70. Malyarov N. 10. Martovoy D. 88. Obivalin S. 7. Pavlishin A. 14. Poluboyarinov D. 42. Shaikhtdinov D. 55. Shlyakov E. 99. Smirnov O. (G) 9. Zhamaletdinov T.	96. Adaev V. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 62. Budachev I. (G) 8. Esimbekov D. 5. Garaev V. 27. Gurchenko D. 97. Nikiforov N. 88. Popovich A. 37. Puchkov S. 22. Rebrov D. (G) 71. Yakovlev D. A. 23. Zazvonkin I.
Coaches
Klyuev D.	Garanin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Magomedov Z. 🟨,
27', Lesnikov D. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Fomin D. ⚽,
43', Krasilnichenko O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Voropaev A. ↓, Garaev V. ↑,
46', Magomedov Z. ↓, Popovich A. ↑,
46', Atabayev E. ↓, Poluboyarinov D. ↑,
48', Antonov A. 🟨,
55', Krotov V. 🟨,
61', Smirnov D. ↓, Pavlishin A. ↑,
61', Lesnikov D. ↓, Kosarev K. ↑,
63', Antonov A. ↓, Gurchenko D. ↑,
66', Krasilnichenko O. ↓, Bezchasnyuk A. ↑,
73', Ushatov K. ↓, Klenkin D. ↑,
84', Gilyazetdinov A. ↓, Zhamaletdinov T. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Zhamaletdinov T. (Pen),
90+1', Kosarev K. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Volgar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chernomorets is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Volgar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volgar won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Volgar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL
04.05.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Volgar Astrakhan	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
24.04.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Volgar Astrakhan	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Tyumen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTTWL
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
08.05.24	Sokol Saratov - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Torpedo Moscow	1:2 ✺
29.04.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:0 ✺
24.04.24	Tyumen - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	KAMAZ - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
01.10.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1
Russian PFL South
01.09.19	Volgar Astrakhan - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:0
12.04.19	Volgar Astrakhan - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:1
16.09.18	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volgar Astrakhan	0:1
Club Friendly
01.07.18	Volgar Astrakhan - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1

Volgar Astrakhan - Chernomorets Novorossiysk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide