Match Info

FNL - Round 22

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Centralnyy (Novorossiysk)

Referee: Sidorin A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV


	Chernomorets Novorossiysk		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.69	3.01	2.26
	3.22	3.06	2.44	Watch
	3.2	3.05	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.77)	3.04 ↓ (3.14)	2.37 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
28.3%

Draw
31.4%

Torpedo Moscow
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

30.4%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Torpedo Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
73. Shtepa M. (G) 99. Morozov K. 11. Konovalov I. 3. Pliev Z. (C) 18. Nikolaev O. 8. Tarba Z. 77. Zarypbekov E. 17. Zhilkin G. 10. Zhigulev I. 7. Antonov A. 98. Khubulov A.	25. Soldatenko R. (G) 77. Savichev K. 3. Ivankov A. 24. Gotsuk K. (C) 90. Roganovic B. 69. Koltakov A. 97. Curic M. 17. Berkovsky I. 7. Yushin A. 11. Apekov R. 79. Kashtanov A.
Substitutes
21. Chistyakov N. 29. Gordiyuk T. 33. Khalilov M. 5. Krachkovskii A. 44. Kukharchuk I. 88. Magomedov Z. 23. Matyusha M. (G) 19. Pomeshkin K. 14. Sidorenko D. 90. Sutugin I. 59. Syshchenko M. 81. Tonevitskiy E.	66. Bagiev S. 33. Camara M. 84. Churilov V. 83. Ishchenko N. 86. Korets N. (G) 5. Moskvichev V. 27. Orekhov A. 99. Shevchenko G. 9. Shitov V. 55. Stepanov D. 10. Tsypchenko D. 47. Utkin D.
Coaches
Popov D.	Kononov O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Apekov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Curic M. ↓, Moskvichev V. ↑,
61', Apekov R. ↓, Shitov V. ↑,
62', Gotsuk K. 🟨,
66', Konovalov I. 🟨,
69', Berkovsky I. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
70', Yushin A. ↓, Utkin D. ↑,
78', Tarba Z. ↓, Kukharchuk I. ↑,
78', Zhilkin G. ↓, Chistyakov N. ↑,
78', Antonov A. ↓, Khalilov M. ↑,
80', Nikolaev O. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
84', Khubulov A. ↓, Pomeshkin K. ↑,
85', Zarypbekov E. 🟨,
90', Pomeshkin K. 🟨,
90+2', Koltakov A. ↓, Bagiev S. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Camara M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).

Torpedo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Torpedo Moscow: 5.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Torpedo Moscow	12	6	3	3	21:9	12	21

Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo Moscow - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 44.23%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Club Friendly
04.02.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Kuban Krasnodar	1:4 ✺
25.01.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Kaluga	4:1 ✺
Russian FNL
28.11.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Arsenal Tula - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWTW
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
30.11.25	Spartak Kostroma - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
25.11.25	Torpedo Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
21.11.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Torpedo Moscow	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Torpedo Moscow - Rotor	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Torpedo Moscow - Sokol Saratov	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
05.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:4
01.03.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Torpedo Moscow	2:0
25.08.24	Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1
04.05.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Torpedo Moscow	1:2
30.07.23	Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1

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