Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 27

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Galimov Y. (Rus)


	Khimki		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	1.54	3.87	6.31
	1.55	3.87	6.31
	1.53	3.98	6.23	Watch
	1.49	3.85	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.72)	3.89 ↑ (3.5)	6.21 ↑ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimki
61%

Draw
24%

Shinnik
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

27.4%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

26%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khimki's performance.

Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Obukhov I. (G) 17. Berkovskiy I. 2. Golubovic P. 4. Isaenko O. 80. Khosonov K. 97. Magomedov B. 9. Rudenko A. 5. Stepanov D. 13. Terekhov S. (C) 67. Varatynov S. 23. Volkov Z.	56. Dovbnya A. (G) 38. Aleynikov V. 21. Andreev I. 27. Gogoua A. 50. Golubev A. 53. Kotin N. 61. Malakhov A. 3. Polyakov M. 11. Saus V. 77. Valiakhmetov E. 5. Zinkov V. (C)
Substitutes
10. Abdullahi S. K. 31. Kasimov T. 11. Koryan A. 32. Kulishev A. 66. Leo Andrade 1. Mitryushkin A. (G) 52. Netfullin R. 8. Panchenko K. 7. Sadygov I. 22. Skvortsov L. 77. Yuzepchuk R. 27. Zhuravlev Y.	92. Emeljanov R. 9. Nizamutdinov E. 19. Rubtsov I. 15. Samoilov D. 13. Semenov A. 76. Sukhomlinov D. 75. Vambolt D. (G) 18. Yakovlev M. 89. Zagre B.
Coaches
Talalaev A.	Cheryshev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Gogoua A. 🟨,
45', Terekhov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Golubovic P. 🟨,
57', Berkovskiy I. ↓, Koryan A. ↑,
63', Golubev A. ↓, Sukhomlinov D. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Andreev I. ⚽,
64', Stepanov D. ↓, Netfullin R. ↑,
65', Golubovic P. ↓, Yuzepchuk R. ↑,
76', Terekhov S. ↓, Zhuravlev Y. ↑,
77', Magomedov B. ↓, Sadygov I. ↑,
80', Sukhomlinov D. ↓, Semenov A. ↑,
80', Andreev I. ↓, Rubtsov I. ↑,
80', Saus V. ↓, Zagre B. ↑,
90+3', Malakhov A. ↓, Samoilov D. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Khimki won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Khimki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Khimki have a series of home games.

In this match Khimki is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Khimki won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Khimki won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Khimki
Russian FNL
08.04.24	Khimki - Arsenal Tula	3:2 ✺
Russian Cup
02.04.24	Khimki - Rostov	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
30.03.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Khimki	4:1 ✺
18.03.24	Khimki - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:3 ✺
Russian Cup
12.03.24	Khimki - Krasnodar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLLW
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
06.04.24	Tyumen - Shinnik	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Shinnik - Leningradets	0:0 ✺
18.03.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Kuban Krasnodar - Shinnik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
05.08.23	Shinnik - Khimki	1:2
25.08.19	Shinnik - Khimki	0:1
10.11.18	Khimki - Shinnik	1:0
08.08.18	Shinnik - Khimki	0:1
10.03.18	Shinnik - Khimki	2:0
Russian Cup
23.08.17	Khimki - Shinnik	0:2
Russian FNL
19.08.17	Khimki - Shinnik	0:3

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