Match Info

FNL - Round 6

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Shinnik (Yaroslavl)


	Shinnik		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.28	3.06	2.42
	3.2	3	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.47)	3.03 ↓ (3.18)	2.39 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
29.2%

Draw
31.2%

Rodina Moscow
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

29.6%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

29.6%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Shinnik - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shinnik will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Rodina will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shinnik (votes: 1 - 50%). Rodina (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Mitrov T. (G) 77. Gongapshev A. 62. Karpov V. 2. Kosogorov A. 53. Kotin N. 8. Kul R. 64. Lanin O. 55. Lystsov V. 5. Malyarov K. 15. Samoilov D. (C) 10. Shipunov T.	13. Volkov S. (G) 80. Bessmertniy S. 5. Egorychev A. 6. Fishchenko R. 3. Goglichidze L. 7. Gueye P. 20. Kontsevoy A. 55. Krizan M. 9. Maksimenko A. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 10. Reyna Y.
Substitutes
25. Bozov N. 50. Golubev A. 1. Ismagilov A. (G) 44. Kornyushin D. 61. Malakhov A. 20. Martovoy D. 88. Mironov D. 23. Nafikov V. 11. Porokhov I. 92. Shchelkunov T. 95. Vambolt D. (G)	18. Abdusalamov M. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 22. Beskibalniy A. 49. Dyatlov I. 77. Koryan A. 38. Musaev L. 88. Sokol A. 71. Svinov I. (G) 4. Tananeev D. 99. Timoshenko I. 23. Ushatov K.
Coaches
Buloychik A.	Kirakosyan B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Lystsov V. ↓, Bozov N. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Egorychev A. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
65', Shipunov T. ↓, Golubev A. ↑,
65', Kosogorov A. ↓, Malakhov A. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Golubev A. ⚽,
80', Gueye P. ↓, Timoshenko I. ↑,
80', Fishchenko R. ↓, Abdusalamov M. ↑,
80', Kontsevoy A. ↓, Gordyushenko A. ↑,
81', Samoilov D. ↓, Nafikov V. ↑,
81', Kul R. ↓, Martovoy D. ↑,
83', 🟨,
90', Goglichidze L. ↓, Tananeev D. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Tananeev D. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Shinnik - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 27.1%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
16.08.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Ufa - Shinnik	1:0 ✺
25.07.25	Arsenal Tula - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Shinnik - Ural	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLTL
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
16.08.25	Ufa - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Rodina Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Ural - Rodina Moscow	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Rodina Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	1:3 ✺
21.07.25	Rodina Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
24.05.25	Rodina Moscow - Shinnik	6:2
17.08.24	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	0:0
09.03.24	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	0:2
23.09.23	Rodina Moscow - Shinnik	1:4
05.03.23	Rodina Moscow - Shinnik	2:1
13.08.22	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	1:1

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