Match Info

Super League - Round 25

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Kibera Black Stars		Kisumu All-Stars

	1	X	2
	1.13	7.15	16.52	Watch
	1.55	3.28	6.53
	1.55	3.2	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.61)	4.54 ↑ (3.3)	9.6 ↑ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kibera Black Stars
68.6%

Draw
21.3%

Kisumu All-Stars
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

27.8%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

26.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kibera Black Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kibera Black Stars's performance.

Kisumu All-Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kisumu All-Stars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kibera Black Stars than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kibera Black Stars that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kisumu All-Stars than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Kibera Black Stars - Kisumu All Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16).

Kibera has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kisumu All-Stars has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kisumu All-Stars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kibera is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kibera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Kibera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kibera	36	15	8	13	31:30	1	53
15	Kisumu All-Stars	36	9	9	18	21:45	-24	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kibera Black Stars
Kenyan Super League
14.03.26	Kibera Black Stars - Vihiga United	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Darajani Gogo - Kibera Black Stars	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kibera Black Stars - Kabati	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Equity Bank - Kibera Black Stars	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Kibera Black Stars - Soy United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLW
- Kisumu All-Stars
Kenyan Super League
08.03.26	Kisumu All-Stars - Nzoia United	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Talanta - Kisumu All-Stars	5:1 ✺
21.02.26	Kisumu All-Stars - 3K	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Mombasa United - Kisumu All-Stars	4:0 ✺
01.02.26	Kisumu All-Stars - Mwatate United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
27.10.24	Kisumu All-Stars - Kibera Black Stars	4:1
14.10.23	Kisumu All-Stars - Kibera Black Stars	2:1
02.07.23	Kisumu All-Stars - Kibera Black Stars	2:1
19.03.23	Kibera Black Stars - Kisumu All-Stars	1:1

Kibera Black Stars - Kisumu All-Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide