The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Darajani Gogo 30.6%
Draw 34%
Kibera Black Stars 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
31.8%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
32.3%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darajani Gogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darajani Gogo's form might have worsened.
Kibera Black Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darajani Gogo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darajani Gogo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kibera Black Stars than the current prediction. (-4%)
Darajani Gogo - Kibera Black Stars Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).
Darajani Gogo is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Kibera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Kibera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darajani Gogo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Darajani Gogo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Standings
2025/26
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Kibera
36
15
8
13
31:30
1
53
17
Darajani Gogo
36
8
8
20
22:47
-25
32
Last Results with these Odds
Darajani Gogo - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.38%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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