Match Info

Super League - Round 20

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Kibera Black Stars		Soy United

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.54	3.47
	2.3	2.4	3.5
	2.33	2.56	3.55
	2.33	2.45	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.11)	2.49 ↓ (2.61)	3.48 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kibera Black Stars
38.4%

Draw
35.9%

Soy United
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

34.4%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

34.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kibera Black Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Soy United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kibera Black Stars than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Soy United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Kibera Black Stars - Soy United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)

Kibera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Soy United is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Soy United has had a series of home games.

Kibera is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kibera	36	15	8	13	31:30	1	53
10	Soy United	36	13	9	14	30:27	3	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kibera Black Stars
Kenyan Super League
01.02.26	Vihiga United - Kibera Black Stars	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Kibera Black Stars - Naivas	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Mombasa United - Kibera Black Stars	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Kibera Black Stars - Luanda Villa	2:1 ✺
17.12.25	Kibera Black Stars - Migori Youth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLWW
- Soy United
Kenyan Super League
01.02.26	Soy United - Migori Youth	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Soy United - Gucha Stars	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Soy United - Mwatate United	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Soy United - Mombasa United	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Soy United - Equity Bank	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWWW

Kibera Black Stars - Soy United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide