Match Info

Super League - Round 21

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Equity Bank		Kibera Black Stars

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.7	3.6
	2.09	2.9	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.02)	2.8 ↓ (3)	3.68 (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Equity Bank
43.4%

Draw
32.1%

Kibera Black Stars
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Equity Bank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Kibera Black Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Equity Bank - Kibera Black Stars Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Equity Bank (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kibera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Equity Bank is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Equity Bank	36	20	11	5	53:26	27	71
9	Kibera	36	15	8	13	31:30	1	53

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Equity Bank FC
Kenyan Super League
24.01.26	Talanta - Equity Bank	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Equity Bank - Gucha Stars	3:2 ✺
11.01.26	MOFA - Equity Bank	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Soy United - Equity Bank	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Equity Bank - Vihiga United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWTLW
- Kibera Black Stars
Kenyan Super League
14.02.26	Kibera Black Stars - Soy United	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Vihiga United - Kibera Black Stars	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Kibera Black Stars - Naivas	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Mombasa United - Kibera Black Stars	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Kibera Black Stars - Luanda Villa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLTLW

Equity Bank - Kibera Black Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide