Match Info

Super League - Round 18

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Kibera Black Stars		Naivas

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4.22
	1.95	2.80	4.60	Watch
	1.85	2.8	4.4
	1.92	2.8	4.93
	1.85	2.83	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.91)	2.87 ↑ (2.73)	4.47 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kibera Black Stars
48.2%

Draw
31.6%

Naivas
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

32.8%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

31.2%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kibera Black Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Naivas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kibera Black Stars than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naivas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Kibera Black Stars - Naivas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kibera won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Kibera is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kibera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kibera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Naivas FC	36	17	9	10	45:27	18	60
9	Kibera	36	15	8	13	31:30	1	53

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kibera Black Stars
Kenyan Super League
18.01.26	Mombasa United - Kibera Black Stars	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Kibera Black Stars - Luanda Villa	2:1 ✺
17.12.25	Kibera Black Stars - Migori Youth	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Kibera Black Stars - Mwatate United	2:1 ✺
04.12.25	3K - Kibera Black Stars	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL
- Naivas FC
Kenyan Super League
17.01.26	Naivas - Migori Youth	2:4 ✺
11.01.26	3K - Naivas	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Naivas - Talanta	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Naivas - Gucha Stars	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Kisumu All-Stars - Naivas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
14.03.25	Kibera Black Stars - Naivas	0:1
16.11.24	Naivas - Kibera Black Stars	0:0
20.04.24	Naivas - Kibera Black Stars	2:3
20.01.24	Kibera Black Stars - Naivas	2:1
06.05.23	Naivas - Kibera Black Stars	4:0
11.01.23	Kibera Black Stars - Naivas	0:0

Kibera Black Stars - Naivas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide