Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 42

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Kidderminster Harriers		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.1
	2.2	3.1	2.87
	2.25	3.3	3.1
	2.37	3.2	3.17
	2.37	3.2	3.17
	2.25	3.25	2.88
	2.29	3.22	3.03
	2.19	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.72)	3.23 ↓ (3.37)	3.04 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
40.8%

Draw
28.7%

Altrincham
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

27.6%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

27.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kidderminster Harriers's performance.

Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altrincham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kidderminster Harriers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altrincham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Kidderminster Harriers - Altrincham Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kidderminster will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Altrincham will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dibble C. (G) 14. Brown Z. 10. Hemmings A. 22. Kpekawa C. 11. Lambert J. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 5. Pearce K. (C) 2. Penny A. 16. Preston M. 3. Richards C. 31. Weston C.	29. Ross E. (G) 4. Baines L. (C) 2. Banks L. 10. Conn-Clarke C. 15. Cooper J. 17. Donawa J. 3. Jones E. 9. Linney R. 30. Newby A. 6. Osborne E. 19. Wilson G.
Substitutes
19. Bellis S. 30. Emmanuel-Thomas J. 8. Miller T. 27. Omotayo G. 20. Robinson S.	14. Angus D. 26. Hancox M. 7. Kosylo M. 44. Mooney D. 16. Roscoe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Brown Z. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Linney R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 2, Conn-Clarke C. ⚽,
64', Linney R. ↓, Angus D. ↑,
71', Weston C. 🟨,
73', 1 - 3, Conn-Clarke C. ⚽,
74', Conn-Clarke C. ↓, Hancox M. ↑,
75', Banks L. 🟨,
81', Lambert J. ↓, Miller T. ↑,
81', Penny A. ↓, Robinson S. ↑,
81', Emmanuel-Thomas J. ↓, Omotayo G. ↑,
81', Newby A. ↓, Roscoe S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kidderminster won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Altrincham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Altrincham have a series of home games.

Kidderminster will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Kidderminster won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Kidderminster won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
23.03.24	Wealdstone - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Bromley - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0 ✺
12.03.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Fylde	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Kidderminster Harriers - York City	0:0 ✺
05.03.24	Woking - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTTL
- Altrincham
English National League
26.03.24	Altrincham - Wealdstone	4:1 ✺
23.03.24	Altrincham - Gateshead	2:3 ✺
16.03.24	Boreham Wood - Altrincham	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Altrincham - York City	6:1 ✺
09.03.24	Altrincham - Woking	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Altrincham	1:0 penalties
English National League
24.10.23	Altrincham - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1
English National League North
21.12.19	Altrincham - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1
14.09.19	Kidderminster Harriers - Altrincham	2:0
30.03.19	Altrincham - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1
29.09.18	Kidderminster Harriers - Altrincham	3:2
17.04.17	Altrincham - Kidderminster Harriers	1:4

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