Match Info

National League - Round 25

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Moss Lane (Altrincham)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Vietnam	DAZN


	Altrincham		York City

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.33	1.44
	5.5	4.65	1.47
	5.67	4.84	1.46	Watch
	5.5	4.5	1.4
	6.05	4.45	1.41
	5.5	5.33	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↑ (4.57)	4.68 ↑ (4.22)	1.43 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altrincham
16.2%

Draw
19.6%

York City
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

22%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

20.9%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting York City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Altrincham - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Altrincham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). York will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - York (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Altrincham (5.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Altrincham (votes: 1 - 50%). York (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hutchinson L. (G) 8. Marriott I. 5. Cooper J. 34. Sassi D. 23. Golden T. 14. Kosylo M. 18. German O. 20. Reddin K. 7. Crankshaw O. 9. Gale J. 22. Crawford T. (C)	1. Male H. (G) 4. Fagan-Walcott M. 29. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 12. Grey J. 18. Batty D. 21. Boateng H. 8. Hunt A. 9. Stones J. 10. Pearce O. (C) 30. Newby A.
Substitutes
4. Baines L. 41. Beddow M. (G) 33. Jones E. 40. Kirk C. 11. Knowles J. 10. Ward K. 17. Weaver L.	14. Brookes B. 19. Chadwick B. 2. Fallowfield R. 23. Felix J. 17. Hewitt C. 5. Howe C. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', German O. 🟥,
42', 0 - 1, Newby A. ⚽, Stones J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', Fagan-Walcott M. ↓, Howe C. ↑,
77', Grey J. ↓, Brookes B. ↑,
77', Newby A. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
78', Reddin K. ↓, Knowles J. ↑,
78', Crankshaw O. ↓, Kirk C. ↑,
83', Gale J. ↓, Weaver L. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Weaver L. ⚽,
90', Hunt A. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Pearce O. ⚽, Kitching M. (A),
90+3', Pearce O. ↓, Hewitt C. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altrincham won 4.

Altrincham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

York is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, York is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Altrincham won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:10. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Altrincham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altrincham
English National League
26.12.25	Halifax Town - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Altrincham - Rochdale	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	AFC Telford United - Altrincham	4:3 ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Aldershot Town - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Altrincham - Scunthorpe United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW
- York City
English National League
26.12.25	York City - Boston United	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	York City - Truro City	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Clitheroe - York City	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League
29.11.25	York City - Aldershot Town	5:1 ✺
22.11.25	Brackley Town - York City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
04.03.25	York City - Altrincham	1:2
26.11.24	Altrincham - York City	3:0
12.03.24	Altrincham - York City	6:1
15.08.23	York City - Altrincham	2:2
14.03.23	York City - Altrincham	1:2
English FA Trophy
11.03.23	York City - Altrincham	1:2
English National League
12.11.22	Altrincham - York City	2:1

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