Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 34

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Kidderminster Harriers		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.5
	1.58	3.6	4.75
	1.62	4	5
	1.57	3.9	4.87
	1.69	3.64	5.5
	1.6	3.7	4.5
	1.62	3.84	4.98
	1.57	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.91)	3.79 ↑ (3.39)	5.01 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
57.3%

Draw
24.3%

Dorking Wanderers
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

27%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

25.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kidderminster Harriers's performance.

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dorking Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kidderminster Harriers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dorking Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kidderminster Harriers - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dibble C. (G) 19. Bellis S. 14. Brown Z. 23. Byrne S. (C) 10. Hemmings A. 11. Lambert J. 6. McNally R. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 5. Pearce K. 2. Penny A. 3. Richards C.	1. Male H. (G) 29. Blair T. 16. Carter C. 5. Craig T. (C) 37. Francomb G. 19. Hollis H. 6. McManus N. 9. Prior J. 4. Pybus D. 3. Taylor B. 17. Taylor J.
Substitutes
22. Harper-Bailey A. 26. Hesketh O. 27. Omotayo G. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C.	15. Cook J. 20. Gallagher D. 12. Kennedy C. 18. Moore L. 10. Rutherford A.

Preview

Kidderminster is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dorking is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dorking could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kidderminster is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kidderminster to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kidderminster won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English FA Trophy
10.02.24	Peterborough Sports - Kidderminster Harriers	1:0 ✺
English National League
03.02.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Oxford City	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
23.01.24	Hartlepool United - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Aldershot Town	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWWWW
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
13.02.24	York City - Dorking Wanderers	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Dorking Wanderers - Halifax Town	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Dorking Wanderers - Fylde	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Boreham Wood - Dorking Wanderers	0:3 ✺
23.01.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
03.10.23	Dorking Wanderers - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1
English FA Trophy
14.01.23	Dorking Wanderers - Kidderminster Harriers	3:2

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