Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 30

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)


	Hartlepool United		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.7
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.5	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.54	3.28	2.89
	2.3	3.2	2.7
	2.42	3.24	2.75
	2.45	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (1.93)	3.23 ↓ (3.54)	2.72 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
37.7%

Draw
28.5%

Kidderminster Harriers
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartlepool United's form might have worsened.

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kidderminster Harriers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartlepool United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kidderminster Harriers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Hartlepool United - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Kidderminster will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hartlepool: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dixon J. (G) 22. Crawford T. 36. Duffus C. 35. Featherstone N. 3. Ferguson D. 12. Grey J. 27. Hendrie L. 8. Mancini A. 23. Onariase E. 29. Parkes T. 6. Wallace K.	21. Dibble C. (G) 19. Bellis S. 14. Brown Z. 23. Byrne S. (C) 10. Hemmings A. 11. Lambert J. 6. McNally R. 27. Omotayo G. 2. Penny A. 16. Preston M. 3. Richards C.
Substitutes
10. Cooke C. 13. Jameson P. (G) 15. Pruti E. 32. Stephenson L. 11. Wreh C.	26. Hesketh O. 18. Lissimore K. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 5. Pearce K.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hartlepool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
20.01.24	Ebbsfleet United - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Hartlepool United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1 penalties ✺
English National League
09.01.24	Fylde - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Hartlepool United - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
30.12.23	Oldham Athletic - Hartlepool United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL
- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
20.01.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Aldershot Town	4:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Altrincham	1:0 penalties ✺
English National League
06.01.24	Rochdale - Kidderminster Harriers	2:0 ✺
30.12.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
26.12.23	Boreham Wood - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.11.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Hartlepool United	1:1

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