Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 13 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: LNER Community Stadium (York)


	York City		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.5
	1.82	3.5	3.5
	1.85	3.75	3.75
	1.8	3.7	3.72
	1.77	3.96	4.34
	1.75	3.6	3.7
	1.79	3.74	3.96
	1.77	3.55	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)	3.66 ↓ (3.92)	3.93 ↓ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
51.4%

Draw
25.2%

Dorking Wanderers
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

23.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

23.6%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

York City - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Dorking will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for York: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G) 9. Akinyemi D. 24. Amos D. 17. Barnes F. 18. Batty D. 19. Chadwick B. 3. Crookes A. 2. Fallowfield R. (C) 15. Howe C. 37. Smith W. 30. Woodyard A.	1. Male H. (G) 29. Blair T. 16. Carter C. 5. Craig T. (C) 37. Francomb G. 19. Hollis H. 6. McManus N. 9. Prior J. 4. Pybus D. 3. Taylor B. 17. Taylor J.
Substitutes
20. Burgess S. 7. Davies W. 4. Duckworth M. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 6. McLaughlin P.	15. Cook J. 20. Gallagher D. 12. Kennedy C. 18. Moore L. 24. Ottaway H.

Preview

Postponed due to FA Cup.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

York could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently York have a series of home games.

In this match York is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches York won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams York won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League
10.02.24	Southend United - York City	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	York City - Maidenhead United	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Hartlepool United - York City	2:1 ✺
23.01.24	Oxford City - York City	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Boreham Wood - York City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTLWT
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
10.02.24	Dorking Wanderers - Halifax Town	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Dorking Wanderers - Fylde	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Boreham Wood - Dorking Wanderers	0:3 ✺
23.01.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Dorking Wanderers - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.08.23	Dorking Wanderers - York City	2:2
18.03.23	York City - Dorking Wanderers	2:1
26.11.22	Dorking Wanderers - York City	1:0

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