Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Aggborough Stadium (Kidderminster)


	Kidderminster Harriers		Leek Town

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.1	7
	1.36	4.75	7.5
	1.35	4.76	7.86
	1.37	4.93	8.44	Watch
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.37	5.72	9.2	Watch
	1.36	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.51)	4.68 ↑ (3.93)	7.71 ↑ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
68%

Draw
19.9%

Leek Town
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

23.9%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

23.7%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kidderminster Harriers's performance.

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kidderminster Harriers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Kidderminster Harriers - Leek Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Kidderminster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kidderminster is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
07.09.24	Chorley - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
03.09.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Chester	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Scunthorpe United - Kidderminster Harriers	2:0 ✺
26.08.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Oxford City	4:0 ✺
24.08.24	Warrington Town - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTLWL
- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
10.09.24	Hyde United - Leek Town	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Leek Town - Worksop Town	0:4 ✺
26.08.24	Matlock Town - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Leek Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Leek Town - Mickleover Sports	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWLL

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