The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chorley 29%
Draw 29.1%
Kidderminster Harriers 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.7%
26.9%
45.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
26.4%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Chorley - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Bird S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
84', 1 - 1, Clarke J. A. ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, Smith H. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 3.
Chorley is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kidderminster is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Chorley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Kidderminster has had a series of home games.
Kidderminster is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Chorley: 1.12%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Chorley
10
4
2
4
16:17
-1
14
Last Results with these Odds
Kidderminster Harriers - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.3%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
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