The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kiffen 08 44.9%
Draw 23.5%
Lahden Reipas 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
24.7%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
23.9%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiffen 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kiffen 08's performance.
Lahden Reipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lahden Reipas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiffen 08 than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kiffen 08 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Kiffen 08 - Lahden Reipas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Abdi A. (G) 11. Haajanen A. 13. Jurvanen V. 37. Koivumaki M. 8. Kovalainen J. 4. Loukiainen A. (C) 28. Makinen A. 7. Niska R. 9. Partanen J. 27. Saarikko T. 14. Thurling B.
13. Ratto V. (G) 24. Helttunen O. 17. Jarvinen L. 5. Kautonen T. (C) 6. Kuparinen E. 22. Nykanen H. 14. Ozel M. 8. Paalanen A. 18. Saltykov T. 25. Vaisanen K. 16. Vatanen M.
Substitutes
25. Ferati G. 10. Hopsu M. 12. Kallman R. (G) 15. Kyander J. 17. Lehtojuuri A. 19. Peetumber M. 18. Rugumiriza A. 24. Ruismaki R. 16. Unikkolinna V.
11. Belhout Y. 31. Hajdinaj G. (G) 21. Kuparinen E. 3. Kuusimaki L. 23. Mynttinen J. 12. Ndabawedje E. 20. Salmensuu E. 19. Verkko M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Saltykov T. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Haajanen A. ⚽,
17', 2 - 1, Koivumaki M. ⚽,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Makinen A. ↓, Peetumber M. ↑,
46', Vatanen M. ↓, Verkko M. ↑,
46', Jarvinen L. ↓, Ndabawedje E. ↑,
49', 2 - 2, Helttunen O. ⚽,
53', 🟨,
53', Verkko M. 🟨,
61', Kovalainen J. ↓, Ruismaki R. ↑,
64', 3 - 2, Saarikko T. ⚽,
65', Nykanen H. ↓, Mynttinen J. ↑,
68', Saarikko T. 🟨,
69', Saltykov T. ↓, Kuparinen E. ↑,
74', Haajanen A. ↓, Lehtojuuri A. ↑,
82', Helttunen O. ↓, Belhout Y. ↑,
85', Partanen J. ↓, Ferati G. ↑,
85', Koivumaki M. ↓, Hopsu M. ↑,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiffen won 3.
Kiffen is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Reipas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Reipas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kiffen won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Kiffen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
Finland
Watch
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Abdi A. (G) 
Rugumiriza A. 
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