Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Kigali		Gicumbi

	1	X	2
	2.43	2.80	2.80
	2.51	2.96	2.85	Watch
	2.50	2.80	2.55
	2.77	2.97	2.61
	2.48	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.41)	2.88 ↑ (2.87)	2.71 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kigali
35.5%

Draw
31.3%

Gicumbi
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37%

31.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Gicumbi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kigali - Gicumbi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Habimana Y. ⚽, Baombolia M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 3.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Kigali has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:6 (averaging 1.6:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kigali against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 14:3 goals (averaging 2.3:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gicumbi	5	3	0	2	5:4	1	9
12	Kigali FC	4	1	1	2	1:4	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Kigali - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 36.99%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Kigali
Rwanda Premier League
16.09.26	Kigali - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Etoile de LEst - Kigali	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Marines - Kigali	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Kigali - Musanze	2:1
22.05.26	Rutsiro - Kigali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLWL
- Gicumbi FC
Rwanda Premier League
15.09.26	Etoile de LEst - Gicumbi	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Gicumbi - Amagaju	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Police - Gicumbi	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	APR - Gicumbi	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Gicumbi - Mukura Victory Sports	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
15.05.26	Kigali - Gicumbi	2:1
14.03.22	Kigali - Gicumbi	1:0
01.12.21	Gicumbi - Kigali	1:2
08.12.19	Kigali - Gicumbi	1:2
30.04.19	Gicumbi - Kigali	1:0
19.12.18	Kigali - Gicumbi	6:0
29.10.17	Kigali - Gicumbi	4:0

Kigali - Gicumbi