Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 15 May 2026, FridayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Rwanda | Magic Sports TV |
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Kigali |
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Gicumbi |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.98 |
3 |
3.65 |
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1.86 |
3.13 |
3.73 |
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1.69 |
3.75 |
4.40 |
Watch |
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1.9 |
3.2 |
3.96 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↓ (1.91) |
3.27 ↑ (3.11) |
3.94 ↑ (3.78) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kigali 49% | Draw 27.8% | Gicumbi 23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Gicumbi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gicumbi than the current prediction. (+0.2%)Kigali - Gicumbi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 15 and 13)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 3.Kigali has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Gicumbi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Recently, Gicumbi has had a series of home games. Kigali might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.6:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Kigali won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:2. (average 2.4:0.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gicumbi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
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| 16 | Kigali FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 14.03.22 | Kigali - Gicumbi | 1:0 | | 01.12.21 | Gicumbi - Kigali | 1:2 | | 08.12.19 | Kigali - Gicumbi | 1:2 | | 30.04.19 | Gicumbi - Kigali | 1:0 | | 19.12.18 | Kigali - Gicumbi | 6:0 | | 29.10.17 | Kigali - Gicumbi | 4:0 | | 20.03.17 | Gicumbi - Kigali | 0:0 |
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