Match Info

Premier League

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Rutsiro		Kigali

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.88	2.62
	2.68	2.95	2.68	Watch
	2.63	2.88	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.69)	2.9 ↓ (2.91)	2.64 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rutsiro
34.4%

Draw
31.3%

Kigali
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

31.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

31.8%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rutsiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rutsiro than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Kigali aligns with the current prediction.

Rutsiro - Kigali Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rutsiro won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rutsiro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rutsiro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Kigali FC	3	0	1	2	0:4	-4	1

Last Results with these Odds

Kigali - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.2%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rutsiro FC
Rwanda Premier League
17.05.26	APR - Rutsiro	3:0 ✺
10.05.26	Rutsiro - Amagaju	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Rutsiro - Musanze	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Rutsiro	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Gicumbi - Rutsiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTWL
- AS Kigali
Rwanda Premier League
15.05.26	Kigali - Gicumbi	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	APR - Kigali	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Gorilla - Kigali	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Kigali - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Kigali - Gasogi United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
09.01.26	Kigali - Rutsiro	0:0
09.03.25	Rutsiro - Kigali	2:1
21.09.24	Kigali - Rutsiro	0:0
21.05.23	Kigali - Rutsiro	0:2
02.10.22	Rutsiro - Kigali	1:2
15.05.22	Rutsiro - Kigali	0:0
15.01.22	Kigali - Rutsiro	1:2

Rutsiro - Kigali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide