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Current Win Probability
APR 73.6%
Draw 18.5%
Gicumbi 7.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.4%
21.7%
11.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71%
20.3%
11.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
APR has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in APR's performance.
Gicumbi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for APR than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gicumbi than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, APR won 4.
APR is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Gicumbi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
APR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, APR has had a series of home games.
In this match, APR is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that APR will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, APR won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:6. (average 1.9:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, APR won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
Watch
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