The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kilmarnock 35.7%
Draw 26%
St. Mirren 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
27.6%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
28.7%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Mirren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.7%
6.7%
66.7%
Kilmarnock - St. Mirren Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Kilmarnock will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). St. Mirren will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for St. Mirren: 42.8% โ 90.6%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kilmarnock (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stryjek M. (G) 4. McCarthy C. 14. Stanger G. 15. Yfeko J. 8. Ring E. 5. O'Hara M. 18. Lowery T. 21. Schjonning-Larsen M. 11. Kiltie G. (C) 10. John-Jules T. 9. Hugill J.
1. Chapman J. (G) 47. Ramsay C. 13. Gogic A. (C) 53. Fieldson H. 3. John D. 48. Nsio P. 8. Carr R. 23. Mochrie C. R. 30. Taylor F. 19. Kabia I. 25. Agrafiotis N.
Substitutes
2. Brandon J. 37. Burke C. 29. Daniels D. 12. Ferrie C. (G) 7. McKenzie R. 19. Meier J. 27. Owen I. 49. Rice B. 36. Tshibola A.
6. Jackson L. 5. King R. 37. McEvoy C. 31. Mullen R. (G) 10. Ramos S. 2. Richardson J. 9. Sule E. 16. Thomas L. 20. Young J.
Coaches
McCann N.
McLeish C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Taylor F. ⚽, Agrafiotis N. (A),
38', Kiltie G. 🟨,
42', Agrafiotis N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', John-Jules T. ↓, Daniels D. ↑,
46', Ring E. ↓, Tshibola A. ↑,
46', Yfeko J. ↓, Brandon J. ↑,
61', Agrafiotis N. ↓, Young J. ↑,
66', Mochrie C. R. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
66', O'Hara M. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
74', Taylor F. ↓, Richardson J. ↑,
74', Kabia I. ↓, Sule E. ↑,
78', Lowery T. ↓, Rice B. ↑,
82', Rice B. 🟨,
82', Richardson J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 3.
Recent form of Kilmarnock has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
St. Mirren has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Kilmarnock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in St. Mirren: Ayunga J.
(Knee Injury)
Baccus K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dijksteel M.
(Inactive)
Donnelly L.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 2.3:1.7).
Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now
St. Mirren: 0.38% Kilmarnock: 0.25%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
St. Mirren
7
3
1
3
8:9
-1
10
12
Kilmarnock
7
1
2
4
6:15
-9
5
Last Results with these Odds
Kilmarnock - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.77%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
St. Mirren - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.65%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Stryjek M. (G) 
McCarthy C. 
Stanger G. 
Yfeko J. 
Ring E. 
O'Hara M. 
Schjonning-Larsen M. 
Chapman J. (G) 
Gogic A. (C) 
John D. 
Kabia I. 
Agrafiotis N. 
Daniels D. 
Meier J. 
Tshibola A. 
King R. 
Ramos S. 
