The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Kilmarnock 57%
Draw 22.8%
Ayr United 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
22.5%
16.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.9%
24.3%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kilmarnock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-5%)
Kilmarnock - Ayr United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stryjek M. (G) 2. Brandon J. 14. Stanger G. 6. Deas R. 21. Schjonning-Larsen M. 36. Tshibola A. 8. Ring E. 18. Lowery T. 11. Kiltie G. (C) 10. John-Jules T. 9. Hugill J.
1. Stone H. (G) 32. Watret D. 8. King L. 5. Holt K. 3. Dick L. 6. Lyon R. (C) 20. McBeth L. 11. Taylor R. 16. Summers B. 33. McMann S. 7. Stirton O.
Substitutes
20. Clescenco N. 42. Coughlin C. 32. Ellis R. 12. Ferrie C. (G) 7. McKenzie R. 5. O'Hara M. 27. Owen I. 49. Rice B. 15. Yfeko J.
34. Douglas J. 2. McAllister N. 25. Mitchell K. 15. Murphy J. 38. Russell L. (G) 4. Want S. 26. Warbrick M.
Coaches
McCann N.
Naysmith G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Stirton O. ⚽, McMann S. (A),
33', Tshibola A. 🟨,
38', Stirton O. 🟨,
39', Brandon J. ↓, Clescenco N. ↑,
43', 1 - 1, Hugill J. ⚽, John-Jules T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Taylor R. ⚽, Lyon R. (A),
69', Tshibola A. ↓, O'Hara M. ↑,
73', John-Jules T. ↓, Owen I. ↑,
73', King L. ↓, McAllister N. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Schjonning-Larsen M. ⚽, Lowery T. (A),
82', McMann S. ↓, Mitchell K. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Clescenco N. ⚽,
90', Lyon R. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
90', Watret D. ↓, Douglas J. ↑,
90+3', Schjonning-Larsen M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 3.
Kilmarnock has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ayr is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Kilmarnock is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).