Match Info

League Cup

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: The SMISA Stadium (Paisley)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Match 4
Romania	Digi Sport 2
United-kingdom	ParsTV Dunfermline, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, St Mirren TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	St. Mirren		Dunfermline Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.80	3.90	Watch
	1.70	3.90	4.00
	1.73	3.80	4.25	Watch
	1.74	3.85	4.54
	1.73	4.11	4.15	Watch
	1.71	3.5	4.45
	1.65	3.88	4.26	Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.09)	3.83 ↑ (3.6)	4.18 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Mirren
53.8%

Draw
24.1%

Dunfermline Athletic
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.9%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Mirren's performance.

Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunfermline Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

St. Mirren - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. St. Mirren will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Dunfermline will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chapman J. (G) 2. Richardson J. 22. Fraser M. (C) 13. Gogic A. 53. Fieldson H. 8. Carr R. 10. Ramos S. 88. Phillips K. 30. Taylor F. 9. Sule E. 23. Mochrie C. R.	1. Oxborough A. (G) 3. Tod J. 5. Robinson L. 15. Cleall-Harding S. 11. Kearney S. 14. Amade A. 18. Corbally K. 47. Fraser R. (C) 26. Tod A. 7. Morrison C. 9. Rudden Z.
Substitutes
77. Calvin J. 18. Dijksteel M. 32. Douglas L. 38. Falconer T. 7. Idowu R. 5. King R. 37. McEvoy C. 27. Urminsky P. (G) 20. Young J.	22. Bray K. 33. Cooper J. 23. Davidson A. 8. Gilmour C. 20. Kane Ch. 16. MacLeod R. 28. McLeod E. 30. Rowe F. 40. Terrell B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Robinson L. 🟨,
29', Corbally K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Morrison C. ↓, Kane Ch. ↑,
61', Mochrie C. R. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
66', Kearney S. ↓, MacLeod R. ↑,
66', Amade A. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
71', Sule E. ↓, Douglas L. ↑,
74', Rudden Z. ↓, Davidson A. ↑,
74', Corbally K. ↓, Bray K. ↑,
75', Kane Ch. 🟨,
76', Ramos S. 🟨,
80', Fieldson H. ↓, Falconer T. ↑,
80', Ramos S. ↓, Dijksteel M. ↑,
80', Phillips K. ↓, McEvoy C. ↑,
85', Taylor F. 🟨,
88', 0 - 1, Kane Ch. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Cooper J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 4.

St. Mirren is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dunfermline is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

St. Mirren will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

St. Mirren - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Mirren
Scottish League Cup
21.07.26	St. Mirren - East Kilbride	4:3 ✺
18.07.26	Cove Rangers - St. Mirren	0:4 ✺
11.07.26	Dumbarton - St. Mirren	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.26	Arbroath - St. Mirren	2:4 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
25.05.26	St. Mirren - Partick Thistle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW
- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish League Cup
21.07.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Cove Rangers	5:0 ✺
14.07.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Dumbarton	4:1 ✺
11.07.26	East Kilbride - Dunfermline Athletic	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Kelty Hearts - Dunfermline Athletic	0:3 ✺
27.06.26	Clyde - Dunfermline Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.07.24	Dunfermline Athletic - St. Mirren	0:1
Scottish League Cup
13.07.21	St. Mirren - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0
14.07.19	St. Mirren - Dunfermline Athletic	2:3
Scottish Football Championship
10.03.18	St. Mirren - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
26.01.18	Dunfermline Athletic - St. Mirren	1:2
16.12.17	St. Mirren - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0
16.09.17	Dunfermline Athletic - St. Mirren	3:0

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