The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hearts 66%
Draw 19%
St. Mirren 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.2%
20%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66%
19.5%
15.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
The ML Model estimate for Hearts aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
9.1%
0%
Hearts - St. Mirren Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Hearts (1.48) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
Hearts will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hearts will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Reus B. (G) 23. Altena J. 64. Fagan-Walcott M. 5. McCart J. 18. Milne H. (C) 8. Ageu 78. Mendy L. 7. Miller C. 10. Braga C. 15. McPake J. 21. Wilson J.
1. Chapman J. (G) 47. Ramsay C. 13. Gogic A. (C) 53. Fieldson H. 3. John D. 8. Carr R. 48. Nsio P. 23. Mochrie C. R. 30. Taylor F. 19. Kabia I. 88. Phillips K.
Substitutes
2. Borchgrevink C. 17. Findlay S. 30. Fulton R. (G) 19. Guendouz S. 29. Kerjota S. 22. Magnusson T. 74. Mato R. 6. McEntee O. 9. Williams J.
4. Donnelly L. 22. Fraser M. 6. Jackson L. 37. McEvoy C. 10. Ramos S. 9. Sule E. 35. Tamosevicius G. (G) 16. Thomas L. 20. Young J.
Coaches
Vrancken W.
McLeish C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Mendy L. ⚽,
23', Miller C. 🟨,
30', Gogic A. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Miller C. (Penalty Awarded),
45', Mochrie C. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Taylor F. ↓, Young J. ↑,
46', Mochrie C. R. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
46', Carr R. ↓, Donnelly L. ↑,
50', 3 - 0, Miller C. (Penalty Awarded),
54', 4 - 0, Braga C. ⚽, Miller C. (A),
56', Miller C. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
56', Ageu ↓, McEntee O. ↑,
65', Guendouz S. 🟨,
65', Vrancken W. 🟨,
67', Kabia I. ↓, Sule E. ↑,
73', Wilson J. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
74', Braga C. ↓, Guendouz S. ↑,
80', 5 - 0, McPake J. ⚽, Fagan-Walcott M. (A),
82', McPake J. ↓, Findlay S. ↑,
82', Ramsay C. ↓, Fraser M. ↑,
90+1', Phillips K. 🟨,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 2.
Hearts has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
St. Mirren is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Hearts has faced a series of away games on the road.
Hearts holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Confirmed absences for Hearts: Halkett C.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Renaud T.
(Ankle Injury)
Spittal B.
(Ankle Injury).
Confirmed absences for St. Mirren: Ayunga J.
(Knee Injury)
Baccus K.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Dijksteel M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Donnelly L.
(Thigh Injury)
Ramos S.
(Hamstring Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Hearts: Fagan-Walcott M.
(Ankle Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hearts has recorded 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:21 (averaging 1.8:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hearts against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:5 goals (averaging 2.3:0.6 per game).
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Reus B. (G) 
Fagan-Walcott M. 
McCart J. 
Ageu 
Mendy L. 
Braga C. 
Chapman J. (G) 
Gogic A. (C) 
John D. 
Phillips K. 
Borchgrevink C. 
Kerjota S. 
Magnusson T. 
Mato R. 
Williams J. 
Donnelly L. 
Ramos S. 
Vrancken W. 
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