Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 10

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: KMC Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Kinondoni MC		Azam

	1	X	2
	8.1	3.6	1.41
	7.85	4.13	1.36
	8.32	3.77	1.43	Watch
	7.5	3.4	1.44
	7.28	3.75	1.48
	5.5	3.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.43 ↑ (6.08)	3.64 ↑ (3.3)	1.46 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kinondoni MC
12.3%

Draw
25.1%

Azam
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

27.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

26.9%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kinondoni MC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Azam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Azam's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kinondoni MC than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azam than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Kinondoni MC - Azam Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mutombora F. (G) 8. Ally K. (C) 27. Athuman S. 11. Chambo R. 36. Chibada O. 25. Kidawa S. 21. Mwaituka S. 2. Mwangabo C. 19. Sagwe J. 10. Saliboko D. 5. Shemvuni J.	32. Foba Z. (G) 2. Akaminko J. 3. Diaby Y. 24. Fuentes Mendoza Y. D. 23. Hmidi B. 30. Kitambala J. 12. Msindo P. 5. Mwaikenda L. (C) 11. Nado I. 6. Salum F. 7. Sereri Z.
Substitutes
. Anyimike B. . Gambo I. . Majogoro B. . Masoud H. . Mpank I. (G) . Mpepo E. . Mwijage E. . Omar A. . Paulo O.	. Alobogast C. . Bitegeko A. . Diakite C. . Kibeku A. . Lawi L. . Manula A. (G) . Mzee M. . Ngita J. . Twalib M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mwaituka S. ↓, Masoud H. ↑,
55', Kidawa S. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Nado I. ⚽,
65', 0 - 2, Nado I. ⚽, Salum F. (A),
72', Chambo R. ↓, Paulo O. ↑,
72', Shemvuni J. ↓, Majogoro B. ↑,
78', Ally K. ↓, Mwijage E. ↑,
81', Kitambala J. ↓, Ngita J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kinondoni won 0.

Kinondoni has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Azam has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kinondoni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Azam is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kinondoni won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:26. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kinondoni won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Azam	7	4	2	1	11:7	4	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kinondoni MC
Tanzanian Premier League
11.02.26	Kinondoni MC - Simba	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Dodoma Jiji - Kinondoni MC	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Kinondoni MC - Mashujaa	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Namungo - Kinondoni MC	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Coastal Union - Kinondoni MC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWLT
- Azam FC
CAF Confederation Cup
15.02.26	Wydad Casablanca - Azam	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Azam - Maniema Union	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Azam - Nairobi United	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
29.01.26	Azam - TRA United	2:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
25.01.26	Nairobi United - Azam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
06.02.25	Azam - Kinondoni MC	2:0
19.09.24	Kinondoni MC - Azam	0:4
12.05.24	Kinondoni MC - Azam	1:2
07.12.23	Azam - Kinondoni MC	5:0
25.02.23	Azam - Kinondoni MC	1:0
21.10.22	Kinondoni MC - Azam	2:1
07.05.22	Azam - Kinondoni MC	2:1

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