The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mbarara City 20.7%
Draw 29.8%
Kitara 49.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.3%
26.8%
54.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18%
26.4%
55.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Kitara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kitara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitara than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kitara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Mbarara City - Kitara Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mbarara City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kitara will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mbarara City (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5 - Mbarara City (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mbarara City (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Agondeze E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 0.
Mbarara City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kitara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Kitara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Kitara is seen as the favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Mbarara City won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
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