Match Info

UGANDA: Premier League - Round 11

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday

Location: Masindi Municipal Stadium (Hoima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uganda	Sanyuka TV


	Kitara		Mbale Heroes

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	8
	1.32	4.54	8.87	Watch
	1.29	4.7	8.95
	1.33	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.58)	4.56 ↑ (3.54)	8.46 ↑ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kitara
69.2%

Draw
20%

Mbale Heroes
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

25.7%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

24.8%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kitara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kitara's performance.

Mbale Heroes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mbale Heroes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitara than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kitara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbale Heroes than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mbale Heroes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kusiima C. (G) 6. Aheebwa J. (C) 19. Amaku F. 27. Bwambale L. 10. Living K. 23. Ndihabwe D. 17. Nyakoojo B. 16. Okwalinga S. 15. Otti R. 9. Ssenkaaba G. 4. Zaga	24. Mujampwani P. (C) 25. Bironse A. 6. Etoju A. 2. Etou G. 28. Kato H. 22. Kyebatala U. 23. Matata J. 14. Ndifuna B. 7. Ofoyrwoth I. 18. Olega C. 3. Sserugo A.
Substitutes
35. Collins A. 39. Kaddu P. 25. Kasaija D. 5. Kiggundu A. 1. Kiyimba J. (G) 8. Muber E. 37. Mugisha R. 20. Muhumuza P. 14. Nyanzi M. 21. Owachgiu M. 7. Ssemugabi J. 11. Sseruyidde M.	30. Adima H. 12. Kakeeto D. 17. Kawooya A. 5. Malunda M. 11. Musabbah H. 19. Oyo D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Amaku F. (Pen),
40', Matata J. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Ssenkaaba G. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Ssenkaaba G. ↓, Ssemugabi J. ↑,
46', Bironse A. ↓, Kakeeto D. ↑,
46', 3 - 0, Ssemugabi J. ⚽,
57', 4 - 0, Amaku F. ⚽,
62', Amaku F. ↓, Kaddu P. ↑,
62', Aheebwa J. ↓, Kiggundu A. ↑,
62', Zaga ↓, Nyanzi M. ↑,
72', Living K. ↓, Owachgiu M. ↑,
73', 5 - 0, Nyanzi M. ⚽,
75', 🟨,
79', Mujampwani P. ↓, Oyo D. ↑,
87', 6 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Mbale Heroes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kitara is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kitara FC
Ugandan Super League
30.11.24	Vipers - Kitara	0:0 ✺
22.11.24	Kitara - UPDF	4:0 ✺
08.11.24	Bright Stars - Kitara	1:0 ✺
01.11.24	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Kitara	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Kitara - Bul	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWLLL
- Mbale Heroes
Ugandan Super League
28.11.24	Mbale Heroes - Bright Stars	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Mbarara City - Mbale Heroes	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Mbale Heroes - Bul	0:0 ✺
30.10.24	Police - Mbale Heroes	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Mbale Heroes - Kampala City Council	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTLL

Kitara - Mbale Heroes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide