Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Uganda	Sanyuka TV


	Kitara		UPDF

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.05	6.7
	1.41	4.26	6.78	Watch
	1.36	4	7
	1.36	4.15	7.95
	1.36	4.2	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)	4.13 ↑ (4)	6.95 ↓ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kitara
65.3%

Draw
21.8%

UPDF
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

22.7%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

21.8%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kitara have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitara than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Kitara - UPDF Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Kalema J. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Asiki C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 2 - 1, Ssekamatte S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitara won 3.

Kitara is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, UPDF has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kitara is the clear favorite.

We predict that Kitara will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kitara won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kitara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kitara	3	1	2	0	3:2	1	5
10	UPDF	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kitara FC
Ugandan Super League
18.12.25	Entebbe UPPC - Kitara	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Kitara - Maroons	2:0 ✺
04.12.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Kitara	0:1 ✺
27.11.25	Police - Kitara	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	Kitara - Bul	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWWW
- UPDF FC
Ugandan Super League
16.12.25	UPDF - NEC FC	0:0 ✺
10.12.25	Buhimba United Saints - UPDF	2:2 ✺
05.12.25	UPDF - Lugazi Municipal	2:0 ✺
02.12.25	Vipers - UPDF	5:1 ✺
25.11.25	UPDF - Villa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
13.02.25	UPDF - Kitara	0:0
22.11.24	Kitara - UPDF	4:0
03.02.24	UPDF - Kitara	0:3
22.09.23	Kitara - UPDF	1:0
24.04.21	UPDF - Kitara	2:1
09.12.20	Kitara - UPDF	1:5

Kitara - UPDF: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide