Match Info

UGANDA: Premier League - Round 9

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Kakyeka Stadium (Mbarara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uganda	Sanyuka TV


	Mbarara City		Mbale Heroes

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	4.6
	1.74	3.31	4.74	Watch
	1.73	3.28	4.64
	1.73	3.25	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	4.65 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbarara City
52.6%

Draw
27.8%

Mbale Heroes
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

27.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mbale Heroes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbale Heroes than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Kimera A. (G) 21. Adinho G. 17. Akandwanaho J. (C) 16. Arigumaho S. 10. Jurua H. 9. Kitegenyi H. 24. Makutum Y. 26. Namasa E. 6. Odongo F. 2. Ramathan K. 14. Ssenkubuge L.	24. Mujampwani P. (C) 30. Adima H. 14. Benard N. 25. Bironse A. 6. Etoju A. 2. Etou G. 12. Kakeeto D. 23. Matata J. 11. Mushaba A. 18. Sahni Olega C. 3. Sserugo A.
Substitutes
15. Busolo P. 12. Kafumbe J. 28. Kalembo I. (G) 8. Kalisa J. 3. Nambafu I. 18. Okwii A. 13. Othieno S.	8. Bashir O. 19. Delton O. (G) 28. Kato H. 26. Katumba E. 22. Kyebatala U. 5. Malunda M. 16. Waiswa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Etoju A. 🟨,
31', Odongo F. 🟨,
41', Benard N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Akandwanaho J. ⚽,
60', Odongo F. ↓, Kafumbe J. ↑,
62', 🟨,
67', Bironse A. ↓, Waiswa C. ↑,
67', 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).

Recent matches Mbarara City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mbale Heroes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mbale Heroes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mbarara City is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbarara City FC
Ugandan Super League
06.11.24	UPDF - Mbarara City	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Mbarara City - Vipers	1:3 ✺
23.10.24	Bright Stars - Mbarara City	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Mbarara City - Kitara	1:1 ✺
02.10.24	Bul - Mbarara City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LLWTW
- Mbale Heroes
Ugandan Super League
10.11.24	Mbale Heroes - Bul	0:0 ✺
30.10.24	Police - Mbale Heroes	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Mbale Heroes - Kampala City Council	0:1 ✺
16.10.24	Lugazi Municipal - Mbale Heroes	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Mbale Heroes - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLTL

Mbarara City - Mbale Heroes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide