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Current Win Probability
North District 27.1%
Draw 24.7%
Lee Man 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.8%
22.6%
57.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.7%
21.6%
55.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North District's performance.
Lee Man has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lee Man might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North District than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North District that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lee Man than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lee Man could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
North District - Lee Man Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
63. Li H. D. (G) 77. Kauan V. 20. Kayke David 29. Khan J. 10. Law Hiu-Chung (C) 4. Mitrovic A. 30. Navarro F. 70. Samuel Granada 11. Weverton Gudula 3. Wong Chun-Ho 15. Wong H.
28. Chan K. (G) 7. Baffoe N. 8. Camargo E. (C) 5. Dudu 77. Gigauri M. 21. Goddard C. 9. Lau K. 17. Mikael 4. Tachibana R. 44. Tursunov D. 55. Yu Wai-Lim
Substitutes
94. Abadia D. 18. Dai T. M. 14. Ho C. J. 9. Lo Kong-Wai 99. Ng C. (G) 88. Pang Ching-Yeung J. 25. Pun Tsz-Hei 23. Siu C. N. 13. Siu S. 6. Tsang C. 73. Wong W. 7. Yuen Sai-Kit
27. Lau Yu-Ho 1. Leung Hing-Kit (G) 16. Ngan Lok-Fung 99. Poon Pui-Hin 3. Willian Gaucho 31. Yung H. T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Camargo E. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Weverton Gudula ⚽,
23', Kauan V. ↓, Tsang C. ↑,
32', 2 - 1, Weverton Gudula ⚽,
35', 2 - 2, Baffoe N. ⚽,
40', Tursunov D. 🟨,
45+3', Yu Wai-Lim 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Dudu 🟨,
66', Lau K. ↓, Ngan Lok-Fung ↑,
70', 2 - 3, Mikael ⚽,
78', Wong Chun-Ho ↓, Abadia D. ↑,
83', 2 - 4, Camargo E. ⚽,
84', Navarro F. ↓, Ho C. J. ↑,
90', Goddard C. ↓, Yung H. T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North District won 0.
North District has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Lee Man has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Lee Man has had a series of away games.
In this match, Lee Man is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, North District won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:35. (average 1.2:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, North District won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 1:3.2).
Hong-kong
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Li H. D. (G) 
Kauan V. 
Mitrovic A. 
Navarro F. 
Baffoe N. 
Gigauri M. 
Goddard C. 
Tursunov D. 
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