Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Tai Po Sports Ground (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc, RTHK TV 32


	Wofoo Tai Po		Lee Man

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.55	2.12
	2.63	3.61	2.29	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	2.91	3.44	2.15	Watch
	3	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.76)	3.45 ↓ (3.52)	2.17 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wofoo Tai Po
31.9%

Draw
26.3%

Lee Man
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

26%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wofoo Tai Po has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lee Man has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Wofoo Tai Po - Lee Man Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2, 2nd Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Tse Ka-Wing (G) 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. 4. Daciel 15. Dujardin R. 10. Fernando 7. Michel Renner 25. Mikael 24. Ngan Cheuk-Pan 20. Patrick Valverde 18. Sartori I. (C) 44. Weverton Rangel	1. Leung Hing-Kit (G) 7. Baffoe N. 5. Dudu 21. Goddard C. 9. Lau K. 17. Mikael 4. Tachibana R. 44. Tursunov D. 10. Wong W. (C) 6. Wu C. R. 55. Yu Wai-Lim
Substitutes
80. Chung Wai-Keung 22. Korani K. 17. Kwok Chun-Nok 26. Lee Ka-Ho 23. Lee Lok-Him 1. Lo S. (G) 9. Paulinho Simionato 3. Sung K. 28. Tsui L. 34. Wong Hin-Sum 2. Yeung H.	18. Braunshtain B. 8. Camargo E. 28. Chan K. (G) 11. Cheng S. K. 2. Chow T. 30. Hui C. 16. Ngan Lok-Fung 99. Poon Pui-Hin 25. Poon S. (G) 19. Sebai S. 3. Willian Gaucho 31. Yung H. T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Baffoe N. ⚽,
18', Mikael 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Baffoe N. ⚽,
26', Mikael ↓, Paulinho Simionato ↑,
40', Wu C. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
49', 0 - 3, Baffoe N. ⚽,
55', 0 - 4, Mikael ⚽,
58', 1 - 4, Chan Siu-Kwan P. ⚽,
59', Lau K. ↓, Camargo E. ↑,
62', Tursunov D. 🟨,
63', Chan Siu-Kwan P. ↓, Chung Wai-Keung ↑,
76', Goddard C. ↓, Ngan Lok-Fung ↑,
76', Wong W. ↓, Poon Pui-Hin ↑,
79', Ngan Lok-Fung 🟨,
81', 2 - 4, Patrick Valverde (Penalty Awarded),
85', Daciel 🟥,
90', Baffoe N. ↓, Willian Gaucho ↑,
90', Yu Wai-Lim ↓, Sebai S. ↑,
90', Sebai S. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 5, Camargo E. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Patrick Valverde 🟨,
90+6', Willian Gaucho 🟨,
90+9', Fernando ↓, Korani K. ↑,
90+9', Michel Renner ↓, Lee Lok-Him ↑,
90+10', 3 - 5, Paulinho Simionato ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tai Po won 3.

Tai Po has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lee Man is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tai Po may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tai Po won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 1.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tai Po won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lee Man Warriors	4	4	0	0	11:1	10	12
4	Tai Po	4	2	0	2	8:7	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wofoo Tai Po
Hong Kong Premier League
10.01.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Kowloon City	3:2 ✺
14.12.25	Eastern AA - Wofoo Tai Po	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
11.12.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Cong An Ha Noi	1:0 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
07.12.25	Hong Kong FC - Wofoo Tai Po	2:2 ✺
04.12.25	North District - Wofoo Tai Po	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWTT
- Lee Man FC
Hong Kong FA Cup
20.12.25	Lee Man - Kowloon City	3:0 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
14.12.25	Hong Kong Rangers - Lee Man	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Lee Man - Southern District	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lee Man - North District	2:2 ✺
Hong Kong League Cup
16.11.25	North District - Lee Man	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Senior Shield
27.09.25	Lee Man - Wofoo Tai Po	2:3 penalties
Hong Kong Premier League
30.08.25	Lee Man - Wofoo Tai Po	2:2
Hong Kong Sapling Cup
16.04.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Lee Man	1:2 penalties
Hong Kong Premier League
30.03.25	Lee Man - Wofoo Tai Po	3:7
11.01.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Lee Man	1:0
14.09.24	Wofoo Tai Po - Lee Man	2:1
24.02.24	Lee Man - Wofoo Tai Po	0:0

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