The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eastern AA 28.2%
Draw 24.8%
Wofoo Tai Po 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
26.2%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
26.8%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eastern AA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastern AA's form might have worsened.
Wofoo Tai Po has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wofoo Tai Po's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern AA than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastern AA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wofoo Tai Po than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wofoo Tai Po, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Eastern AA - Wofoo Tai Po Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Ko C. W. (G) 10. Bleda M. 17. Carvalho G. 37. Chang Kwong-Yin 11. Felipe Sa 91. Gil Martins 27. Gondra M. K. 15. Lau Kwan Ching 16. Leung C. (C) 5. Lorenz M. 9. Okubo Y.
1. Lo S. (G) 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. 80. Chung Wai-Keung 10. Fernando 12. Gerson 26. Lee Ka-Ho 14. Marcao 20. Patrick Valverde 18. Sartori I. (C) 13. Sim S. 27. Temelkovski J.
Substitutes
43. Contiero U. 33. Gao M. H. 44. Gurung P. 7. Kawano T. 26. Liu F. (G) 28. Siu C. 65. Wong Fred Yang 42. Yeung T.
22. Korani K. 17. Kwok Chun-Nok 23. Lee Lok-Him 9. Paulinho Simionato 3. Sung K. 94. Tse Ka-Wing (G) 28. Tsui L. 34. Wong Hin-Sum
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Felipe Sa 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Okubo Y. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Temelkovski J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', Temelkovski J. ↓, Paulinho Simionato ↑,
53', Chang Kwong-Yin 🟨,
61', Chan Siu-Kwan P. ↓, Wong Hin-Sum ↑,
67', Gil Martins ↓, Wong Fred Yang ↑,
67', Felipe Sa ↓, Kawano T. ↑,
70', Marcao ↓, Lee Lok-Him ↑,
77', Bleda M. ↓, Contiero U. ↑,
85', Lau Kwan Ching ↓, Siu C. ↑,
85', Chang Kwong-Yin ↓, Gao M. H. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Sartori I. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', 1 - 3, Patrick Valverde (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', 2 - 3, Gondra M. K. ⚽,
90+8', Patrick Valverde 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 4, Chung Wai-Keung ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastern AA won 3.
Eastern AA is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tai Po is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Tai Po may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Tai Po could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Eastern AA won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Eastern AA won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2:1.5).
Hong-kong
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Ko C. W. (G) 
Carvalho G. 
Gondra M. K. 
Lorenz M. 
Okubo Y. 
Sim S. 
Temelkovski J. 
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