Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 27

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Kluczevia Stargard		Noteć Czarnków

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.55	4.05
	1.49	4.14	5.56	Watch
	1.48	4.1	5.84	Watch
	1.88	3.56	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.88)	3.84 ↑ (3.56)	4.65 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kluczevia Stargard
56.1%

Draw
24%

Noteć Czarnków
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

24.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

26.2%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kluczevia Stargard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kluczevia Stargard's performance.

Noteć Czarnków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noteć Czarnków might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kluczevia Stargard than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kluczevia Stargard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noteć Czarnków could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kluczevia Stargard - Noteć Czarnków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, Pietrzyk K. ⚽,
74', 2 - 0, Balcewicz F. ⚽,
75', 3 - 0, Yefimenko D. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kluczevia Stargard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kluczevia Stargard is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kluczevia Stargard won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Kluczevia Stargard	10	6	1	3	19:16	3	19
7	Notec Czarnkow	11	5	1	5	18:15	3	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kluczevia Stargard
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.04.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Kluczevia Stargard	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Flota Świnoujście	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Kluczevia Stargard	0:4 ✺
21.03.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Wda Świecie - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWTT
- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Lech Poznań 2	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Września - Noteć Czarnków	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Flota Świnoujście - Noteć Czarnków	2:4 ✺
21.03.26	Luzino - Noteć Czarnków	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.09.25	Noteć Czarnków - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1

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