Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 33

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Kluczevia Stargard		Polonia Środa Wielkopolska

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.37
	2.45	3.45	2.42
	2.53	3.5	2.43	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.4
	2.42	3.62	2.36	Watch
	3.28	3.56	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.28)	3.49 ↓ (3.56)	2.3 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kluczevia Stargard
34.9%

Draw
25.9%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

24.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

24.2%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kluczevia Stargard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kluczevia Stargard's performance.

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polonia Środa Wielkopolska might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kluczevia Stargard than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kluczevia Stargard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Środa Wielkopolska could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kluczevia Stargard - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kluczevia Stargard (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Rychlik P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
73', 1 - 1, Bartkowiak B. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 2, Skrobosinski P. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3).

Kluczevia Stargard is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Środa Wielkopolska has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Środa Wielkopolska may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Środa Wielkopolska could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kluczevia Stargard won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Kluczevia Stargard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sroda	11	8	3	0	33:16	17	27
3	Kluczevia Stargard	10	6	1	3	19:16	3	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kluczevia Stargard
Polish Division 3 - Group II
16.05.26	Września - Kluczevia Stargard	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Lipno Stęszew	0:3 ✺
09.05.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Kluczevia Stargard	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Elana Toruń - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWT
- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.05.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	4:0 ✺
13.05.26	Noteć Czarnków - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	3:1 ✺
01.05.26	Wda Świecie - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Września	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.11.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Kluczevia Stargard	1:4
27.04.22	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Kluczevia Stargard	0:2
18.09.21	Kluczevia Stargard - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:2

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